What markets are included in the Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Mirassol vs Sao Paulo

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-10-19 21:30

Mirassol

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sao Paulo

Away

Prediction Summary

56%

24%

20%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Mirassol (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate68%

Sao Paulo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mirassol

DWLWD

Sao Paulo

LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 53%

68% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mirassol averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Sao Paulo averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

56%

Draw

24%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Mirassol 3 - 0 Sao Paulo Home

May 2025 Mirassol(A) 2 - 0 Sao Paulo Home

In the last 2 meetings, Mirassol won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Mirassol — unbeaten run (home)19

Mirassol — scoring streak (home)3

Sao Paulo — winless run (away)3

Sao Paulo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mirassol Win (1)56%

Draw (X)24%

Sao Paulo Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 53%

68% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 47%

32% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mirassol — scored (home)2.21

Mirassol — conceded (home)0.89

Sao Paulo — scored (away)0.84

Sao Paulo — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Mirassol — BTTS matches (home)68%

Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.576%

Under 8.524%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mirassol (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against5.1

Sao Paulo (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Sao Paulo

9 11 7 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Mirassol (home)

For2.1

Sao Paulo (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Mirassol — total shots (home)14.5

Sao Paulo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Mirassol — on target (home)5.8

Sao Paulo — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Tapia

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Dinenno

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Ferreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mirassol xG (home)1.49

Sao Paulo xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

50.89% Possession 52.13%

Team Comparison Mirassol vs Sao Paulo

83.97% Pass accuracy 83.71%

422.24 Passes per match 438.63

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.21

12.18 Fouls committed 14.24

3.46 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

1.84 Offsides 1.47

15.13 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction analysis

Review Mirassol vs Sao Paulo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights