What markets are included in the Mirassol vs Sport Recife prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Mirassol vs Sport Recife prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Mirassol vs Sport Recife

Mirassol vs Sport Recife prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-06-01 14:00

Mirassol

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

57%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Sport Recife

Away

Prediction Summary

63%

21%

16%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Mirassol (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate68%

Sport Recife (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mirassol

DWLWD

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 47%

68% +1.5 11%

42% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mirassol averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Sport Recife averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

63%

Draw

21%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Mirassol(A) 2 - 1 Sport Recife Home

Jun 2025 Mirassol 1 - 0 Sport Recife Home

Sep 2024 Mirassol 0 - 0 Sport Recife Draw

Jun 2024 Mirassol(A) 0 - 1 Sport Recife Away

Nov 2023 Mirassol 2 - 1 Sport Recife Home

In the last 5 meetings, Mirassol won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Mirassol — unbeaten run (home)19

Mirassol — scoring streak (home)3

Sport Recife — winless run (away)10

Sport Recife — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mirassol Win (1)63%

Draw (X)21%

Sport Recife Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 47%

68% +1.5 11%

42% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 53%

32% -1.5 89%

58% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Mirassol vs Sport Recife — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mirassol — scored (home)2.21

Mirassol — conceded (home)0.89

Sport Recife — scored (away)0.58

Sport Recife — conceded (away)1.89

Model expected combined goals2.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Mirassol — BTTS matches (home)68%

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.592%

Under 7.58%

Over 8.584%

Under 8.516%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mirassol (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against5.1

Sport Recife (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Mirassol (home)

For2.1

Sport Recife (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Mirassol — total shots (home)14.5

Sport Recife — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Mirassol — on target (home)5.8

Sport Recife — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mirassol xG (home)1.49

Sport Recife xG (away)0.97

Average Possession

50.89% Possession 46.24%

Team Comparison Mirassol vs Sport Recife

83.97% Pass accuracy 81.37%

422.24 Passes per match 375.95

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.15

12.18 Fouls committed 13.63

3.46 Goalkeeper saves 4.13

1.84 Offsides 1.84

15.13 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mirassol vs Sport Recife prediction analysis

Review Mirassol vs Sport Recife with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights