What markets are included in the Mirassol vs Vitoria prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Mirassol vs Vitoria prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Mirassol vs Vitoria

Mirassol vs Vitoria prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-07-26 21:30

Mirassol

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Vitoria

Away

Prediction Summary

61%

24%

15%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Mirassol (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate68%

Vitoria (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.95

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mirassol

DWLWD

Vitoria

WLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 47%

68% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mirassol averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Vitoria averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

61%

Draw

24%

Away Win

15%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Mirassol(A) 0 - 2 Vitoria Away

Jul 2025 Mirassol 1 - 1 Vitoria Draw

Sep 2023 Mirassol(A) 0 - 0 Vitoria Draw

May 2023 Mirassol 2 - 0 Vitoria Home

In the last 4 meetings, Mirassol won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Mirassol — unbeaten run (home)19

Mirassol — scoring streak (home)3

Vitoria — winless run (away)1

Vitoria — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mirassol Win (1)61%

Draw (X)24%

Vitoria Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 47%

68% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 53%

32% -1.5 84%

58% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Mirassol vs Vitoria — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mirassol — scored (home)2.21

Mirassol — conceded (home)0.89

Vitoria — scored (away)0.74

Vitoria — conceded (away)1.95

Model expected combined goals2.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Mirassol — BTTS matches (home)68%

Vitoria — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mirassol (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against5.1

Vitoria (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Vitoria

9 10 12 5 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Mirassol (home)

For2.1

Vitoria (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Mirassol — total shots (home)14.5

Vitoria — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Mirassol — on target (home)5.8

Vitoria — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Vitoria

Inside the box6.95

Outside the box4.61

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Vitoria

Wellington Rato

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Matheuzinho

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Aitor Cantalapiedra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target16%

Renato Kayzer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target17%

Erick

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mirassol xG (home)1.49

Vitoria xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

50.89% Possession 41.26%

Team Comparison Mirassol vs Vitoria

83.97% Pass accuracy 78.61%

422.24 Passes per match 324.47

-0.08 Goals prevented -0.04

12.18 Fouls committed 14.61

3.46 Goalkeeper saves 3.92

1.84 Offsides 1.83

15.13 Tackles per match 14.87

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mirassol vs Vitoria prediction analysis

Review Mirassol vs Vitoria with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights