What markets are included in the Monaco vs Benfica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Monaco vs Benfica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Monaco vs Benfica

Monaco vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-02-12 20:00

Monaco

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

63%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Benfica

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

23%

33%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Monaco (Home)

Goals scored / match2

Goals conceded / match1.2

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate60%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match1.17

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Monaco

DLLWL

Benfica

LLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 83%

60% +1.5 50%

20% +2.5 17%

20% +3.5 0%

20% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Monaco averages 2 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

23%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

64%

Head-to-Head last 3

Feb 2025 Monaco(A) 3 - 3 Benfica Draw

Feb 2025 Monaco 0 - 1 Benfica Away

Nov 2024 Monaco 2 - 3 Benfica Away

In the last 3 meetings, Monaco won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Monaco — unbeaten run (home)0

Monaco — scoring streak (home)0

Benfica — winless run (away)1

Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monaco Win (1)44%

Draw (X)23%

Benfica Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 83%

60% +1.5 50%

20% +2.5 17%

20% +3.5 0%

20% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 17%

40% -1.5 50%

80% -2.5 83%

80% -3.5 100%

80% -4.5 100%

Monaco vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monaco — scored (home)2

Monaco — conceded (home)1.2

Benfica — scored (away)1.5

Benfica — conceded (away)1.17

Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%

No36%

Rate per Team

Monaco — BTTS matches (home)60%

Benfica — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.5100%

Under 6.50%

Over 7.592%

Under 7.58%

Over 8.584%

Under 8.516%

Over 9.565%

Under 9.535%

Over 10.539%

Under 10.561%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monaco (home)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.2

Benfica (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Monaco

4 11 3 9 5

Benfica

10 9 5 17 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Monaco (home)

For3.0

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Monaco — total shots (home)14.8

Benfica — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Monaco — on target (home)5.6

Benfica — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monaco

Inside the box8.2

Outside the box3.7

Benfica

Inside the box10

Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Monaco

B. Embolo

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

T. Minamino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

E. Ben Seghir

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Akliouche

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target10%

K. Diatta

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Benfica

V. Pavlidis

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target83%

+1.5 On Target50%

K. Aktürkoğlu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

O. Kökçü

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Z. Amdouni

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Á. Di María

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monaco xG (home)1.31

Benfica xG (away)2.01

Average Possession

51.2% Possession 44.33%

Team Comparison Monaco vs Benfica

80.4% Pass accuracy 80.08%

438.9 Passes per match 407.25

-0.17 Goals prevented 0.22

11.9 Fouls committed 10.83

3.2 Goalkeeper saves 3.58

2.8 Offsides 3.08

16.8 Tackles per match 21.75

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monaco vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review Monaco vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights