What markets are included in the Monaco vs Lyon prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Monaco vs Lyon prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Monaco vs Lyon

Monaco vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-01-03 16:00

Monaco

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lyon

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

24%

29%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Monaco (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Lyon (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Monaco

LLWDD

Lyon

LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 71%

59% +1.5 35%

29% +2.5 18%

12% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 6%

59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Monaco averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

24%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Monaco(A) 2 - 1 Lyon Home

Jan 2026 Monaco 1 - 3 Lyon Away

May 2025 Monaco 2 - 0 Lyon Home

Aug 2024 Monaco(A) 2 - 0 Lyon Home

Apr 2024 Monaco(A) 2 - 3 Lyon Away

In the last 5 meetings, Monaco won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Monaco — unbeaten run (home)0

Monaco — scoring streak (home)0

Lyon — winless run (away)1

Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monaco Win (1)46%

Draw (X)24%

Lyon Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 71%

59% +1.5 35%

29% +2.5 18%

12% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 29%

41% -1.5 65%

71% -2.5 82%

88% -3.5 94%

94% -4.5 94%

Monaco vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monaco — scored (home)1.94

Monaco — conceded (home)1.35

Lyon — scored (away)1.35

Lyon — conceded (away)1.29

Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Monaco — BTTS matches (home)59%

Lyon — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monaco (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.1

Lyon (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Monaco

14 6 14 7 10

Lyon

18 9 12 15 28

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Monaco (home)

For1.8

Lyon (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Monaco — total shots (home)12.1

Lyon — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Monaco — on target (home)4.5

Lyon — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monaco

Inside the box9.18

Outside the box3.35

Lyon

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box3.94

Player Shots Monaco

F. Balogun

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target27%

Ansu Fati

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target28%

A. Golovin

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Akliouche

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Pape Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Lyon

Endrick

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target44%

C. Tolisso

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target77%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Šulc

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target19%

M. Satriano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monaco xG (home)1.7

Lyon xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

53.79% Possession 54.62%

Team Comparison Monaco vs Lyon

83.32% Pass accuracy 84.71%

480.44 Passes per match 466.88

-0.11 Goals prevented 0.12

12.97 Fouls committed 13

2.76 Goalkeeper saves 2.76

2.43 Offsides 1.4

17.53 Tackles per match 14.59

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monaco vs Lyon prediction analysis

Review Monaco vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights