Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Monaco vs Paris FC

Monaco vs Paris FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-01 18:00
Monaco
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Paris FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
62%
X
19%
2
20%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Monaco (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%

Paris FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Monaco
LLWDD
Paris FC
WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%
59% +1.5 29%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

Monaco averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Paris FC averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
62%
Draw
19%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Monaco(A) 1 - 4 Paris FC Away
Nov 2025 Monaco 0 - 1 Paris FC Away

In the last 2 meetings, Monaco won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Monaco — unbeaten run (home)0
Monaco — scoring streak (home)0
Paris FC — winless run (away)1
Paris FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monaco Win (1)62%
Draw (X)19%
Paris FC Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%
59% +1.5 29%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%
41% -1.5 71%
71% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Monaco vs Paris FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monaco — scored (home)1.94
Monaco — conceded (home)1.35
Paris FC — scored (away)1.12
Paris FC — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals3.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

Monaco — BTTS matches (home)59%
Paris FC — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monaco (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.1

Paris FC (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Monaco
14 6 14 7 10
Paris FC
11 10 10 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Monaco (home)

For1.8

Paris FC (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Monaco — total shots (home)12.1
Paris FC — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Monaco — on target (home)4.5
Paris FC — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monaco

Inside the box9.18
Outside the box3.35

Paris FC

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box3.88

Player Shots Monaco

F. Balogun
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target27%
Ansu Fati
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target28%
A. Golovin
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Akliouche
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pape Cabral
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Paris FC

I. Kebbal
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Koleosho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Munetsi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target7%
R. Matondo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Immobile
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monaco xG (home)1.7
Paris FC xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

53.79% Possession 50.38%

Team Comparison Monaco vs Paris FC

83.32% Pass accuracy 84.03%
480.44 Passes per match 467.88
-0.11 Goals prevented 0
12.97 Fouls committed 10.65
2.76 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
2.43 Offsides 2.21
17.53 Tackles per match 15.68

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monaco vs Paris FC prediction analysis

Review Monaco vs Paris FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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