What markets are included in the Monaco vs Toulouse prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Monaco vs Toulouse prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Monaco vs Toulouse

Monaco vs Toulouse prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-12-07 16:00

Monaco

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Toulouse

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

27%

28%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Monaco (Home)

Goals scored / match2.24

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate53%

Toulouse (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Monaco

LWWDD

Toulouse

WDWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 65%

71% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 24%

12% +3.5 12%

6% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Monaco averages 2.24 goals scored at home, while Toulouse averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

27%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Monaco(A) 2 - 2 Toulouse Draw

Oct 2025 Monaco 1 - 0 Toulouse Home

Mar 2025 Monaco(A) 1 - 1 Toulouse Draw

Dec 2024 Monaco 2 - 0 Toulouse Home

Feb 2024 Monaco 1 - 2 Toulouse Away

In the last 5 meetings, Monaco won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Monaco — unbeaten run (home)8

Monaco — scoring streak (home)1

Toulouse — winless run (away)0

Toulouse — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monaco Win (1)45%

Draw (X)27%

Toulouse Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 65%

71% +1.5 41%

41% +2.5 24%

12% +3.5 12%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 35%

29% -1.5 59%

59% -2.5 76%

88% -3.5 88%

94% -4.5 100%

Monaco vs Toulouse — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monaco — scored (home)2.24

Monaco — conceded (home)0.94

Toulouse — scored (away)1.41

Toulouse — conceded (away)1.24

Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Monaco — BTTS matches (home)53%

Toulouse — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.518%

Under 10.582%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monaco (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against3.9

Toulouse (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Monaco

5 9 11 8 9

Toulouse

9 8 11 3 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Monaco (home)

For1.9

Toulouse (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Monaco — total shots (home)15.5

Toulouse — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Monaco — on target (home)6.0

Toulouse — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monaco

Inside the box10.68

Outside the box4.03

Toulouse

Inside the box8.88

Outside the box2.97

Player Shots Monaco

M. Biereth

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target50%

E. Ben Seghir

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target24%

G. Ilenikhena

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. Akliouche

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Magassa

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Toulouse

W. Kamanzi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Suazo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Z. Aboukhlal

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target23%

N. Edjouma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monaco xG (home)2.19

Toulouse xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

55.03% Possession 44.74%

Team Comparison Monaco vs Toulouse

82.82% Pass accuracy 80.18%

485.82 Passes per match 396.94

-0.13 Goals prevented -0.09

13.59 Fouls committed 12.97

2.62 Goalkeeper saves 2

2.09 Offsides 1.77

19.71 Tackles per match 17.82

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monaco vs Toulouse prediction analysis

Review Monaco vs Toulouse with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights