Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Montpellier vs Dijon

Montpellier vs Dijon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 2 2026-08-08 18:45
Montpellier
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Dijon
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
26%
2
28%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Montpellier (Home)

Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Dijon (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Montpellier
DLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 0%
47% +1.5 0%
18% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Montpellier averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while Dijon averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2021 Montpellier 4 - 2 Dijon Home
Sep 2020 Montpellier(A) 2 - 2 Dijon Draw
Jan 2020 Montpellier 2 - 1 Dijon Home
Dec 2019 Montpellier(A) 2 - 2 Dijon Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Montpellier won 2, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Montpellier — unbeaten run (home)0
Montpellier — scoring streak (home)4

1X2 Probability model

Montpellier Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
Dijon Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 0%
47% +1.5 0%
18% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 100%
53% -1.5 100%
82% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Montpellier vs Dijon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Montpellier — scored (home)1.59
Montpellier — conceded (home)1.18
Dijon — scored (away)0
Dijon — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Montpellier — BTTS matches (home)59%
Dijon — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)29.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Montpellier (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against3.9

Dijon (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Montpellier
8 5 15 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.547%
Under 1.553%
Over 2.538%
Under 2.562%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Montpellier (home)

For1.7

Dijon (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.565%
Under 19.535%
Over 22.549%
Under 22.551%
Over 25.534%
Under 25.566%
Expected total shots23.06

Montpellier

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.52
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.49

Dijon

Shots Over 9.556%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.54
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.90

Shots per Game

Montpellier — total shots (home)13.3
Dijon — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Montpellier — on target (home)4.8
Dijon — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Montpellier

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.94

Dijon

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Montpellier

Alexandre Mendy
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Savanier
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Pays
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
Everson
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Chennahi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Dijon

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Montpellier xG (home)0
Dijon xG (away)-

Average Possession

52.41% Possession -%

Team Comparison Montpellier vs Dijon

80.46% Pass accuracy 0%
423.24 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
15.91 Fouls committed -
3.26 Goalkeeper saves -
2.53 Offsides -
16.5 Tackles per match -
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Montpellier vs Dijon prediction analysis

Review Montpellier vs Dijon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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