What markets are included in the Montpellier vs Lyon prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Montpellier vs Lyon prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Montpellier vs Lyon

Montpellier vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-02-16 14:00

Montpellier

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

63%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lyon

Away

Prediction Summary

28%

23%

49%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

63%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Montpellier (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match2.41

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate59%

Lyon (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Montpellier

LLLDL

Lyon

WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 82%

29% +1.5 47%

12% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Montpellier averages 1 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

28%

Draw

23%

Away Win

49%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Montpellier 1 - 4 Lyon Away

Jan 2025 Montpellier(A) 0 - 1 Lyon Away

Feb 2024 Montpellier 1 - 2 Lyon Away

Aug 2023 Montpellier(A) 4 - 1 Lyon Home

May 2023 Montpellier(A) 4 - 5 Lyon Away

In the last 5 meetings, Montpellier won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Montpellier — unbeaten run (home)0

Montpellier — scoring streak (home)1

Lyon — winless run (away)2

Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Montpellier Win (1)28%

Draw (X)23%

Lyon Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 82%

29% +1.5 47%

12% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 18%

71% -1.5 53%

88% -2.5 76%

100% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 100%

Montpellier vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Montpellier — scored (home)1

Montpellier — conceded (home)2.41

Lyon — scored (away)1.65

Lyon — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals3.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%

No37%

Rate per Team

Montpellier — BTTS matches (home)59%

Lyon — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.559%

Under 9.541%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Montpellier (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.7

Lyon (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Montpellier

Lyon

14 9 10 8 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Montpellier (home)

For2.5

Lyon (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Montpellier — total shots (home)12.3

Lyon — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Montpellier — on target (home)4.4

Lyon — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Montpellier

Inside the box6.24

Outside the box4.79

Lyon

Inside the box9.53

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Montpellier

A. Delort

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target20%

O. Maamma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Nordin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target25%

T. Savanier

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Lyon

A. Lacazette

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target37%

G. Orban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

R. Cherki

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Mikautadze

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target18%

E. Nuamah

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Montpellier xG (home)1.02

Lyon xG (away)1.8

Average Possession

44.97% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison Montpellier vs Lyon

80.53% Pass accuracy 85.71%

388.79 Passes per match 517.71

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.04

12.56 Fouls committed 11.97

3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

2.1 Offsides 2.29

19 Tackles per match 16.88

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Montpellier vs Lyon prediction analysis

Review Montpellier vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights