What markets are included in the Montpellier vs Rennes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Montpellier vs Rennes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Montpellier vs Rennes

Montpellier vs Rennes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-03-02 16:15

Montpellier

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

67%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Rennes

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

23%

39%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS Yes

67%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Montpellier (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match2.41

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate59%

Rennes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.94

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Montpellier

LLLDL

Rennes

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 41%

12% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

59% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

Montpellier averages 1 goals scored at home, while Rennes averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

23%

Away Win

39%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS Yes

67%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Montpellier 0 - 4 Rennes Away

Sep 2024 Montpellier(A) 0 - 3 Rennes Away

Feb 2024 Montpellier(A) 1 - 2 Rennes Away

Sep 2023 Montpellier 0 - 0 Rennes Draw

Apr 2023 Montpellier 1 - 0 Rennes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Montpellier won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Montpellier — unbeaten run (home)0

Montpellier — scoring streak (home)1

Rennes — winless run (away)3

Rennes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Montpellier Win (1)39%

Draw (X)23%

Rennes Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 41%

12% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 24%

71% -1.5 59%

88% -2.5 82%

100% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 94%

Montpellier vs Rennes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Montpellier — scored (home)1

Montpellier — conceded (home)2.41

Rennes — scored (away)1.53

Rennes — conceded (away)1.94

Model expected combined goals3.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%

No33%

Rate per Team

Montpellier — BTTS matches (home)59%

Rennes — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Montpellier (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.7

Rennes (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Montpellier

9 10 10 9 9

Rennes

12 9 11 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Montpellier (home)

For2.5

Rennes (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Montpellier — total shots (home)12.3

Rennes — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Montpellier — on target (home)4.4

Rennes — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Montpellier

Inside the box6.24

Outside the box4.79

Rennes

Inside the box8.38

Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Montpellier

A. Delort

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target20%

O. Maamma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Nordin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target25%

T. Savanier

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Rennes

A. Kalimuendo

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target21%

Mousa Tamari

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Jacquet

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Rouault

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Montpellier xG (home)1.02

Rennes xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

44.97% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Montpellier vs Rennes

80.53% Pass accuracy 84.12%

388.79 Passes per match 456.29

-0.1 Goals prevented -0.02

12.56 Fouls committed 13.09

3.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.65

2.1 Offsides 1.41

19 Tackles per match 17.59

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Montpellier vs Rennes prediction analysis

Review Montpellier vs Rennes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights