What markets are included in the Monza vs Atalanta prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Monza vs Atalanta prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Monza vs Atalanta

Monza vs Atalanta prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-04 13:00

Monza

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Atalanta

Away

Prediction Summary

14%

23%

63%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Monza (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Atalanta (Away)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.68

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Monza

LLWLL

Atalanta

LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 84%

11% +1.5 58%

0% +2.5 42%

0% +3.5 26%

0% +4.5 11%

58% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Monza averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Atalanta averages 2.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

14%

Draw

23%

Away Win

63%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Monza 0 - 4 Atalanta Away

Oct 2024 Monza(A) 0 - 2 Atalanta Away

Apr 2024 Monza 1 - 2 Atalanta Away

Sep 2023 Monza(A) 0 - 3 Atalanta Away

Jun 2023 Monza(A) 2 - 5 Atalanta Away

In the last 5 meetings, Monza won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Monza — unbeaten run (home)0

Monza — scoring streak (home)1

Atalanta — winless run (away)0

Atalanta — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monza Win (1)14%

Draw (X)23%

Atalanta Win (2)63%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 84%

11% +1.5 58%

0% +2.5 42%

0% +3.5 26%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 16%

89% -1.5 42%

100% -2.5 58%

100% -3.5 74%

100% -4.5 89%

Monza vs Atalanta — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monza — scored (home)0.68

Monza — conceded (home)1.63

Atalanta — scored (away)2.21

Atalanta — conceded (away)0.68

Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Monza — BTTS matches (home)58%

Atalanta — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.555%

Under 7.545%

Over 8.545%

Under 8.555%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.516%

Under 10.584%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monza (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.4

Atalanta (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Monza

5 10 7 8 10

Atalanta

15 10 15 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Monza (home)

For2.2

Atalanta (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Monza — total shots (home)10.5

Atalanta — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Monza — on target (home)2.9

Atalanta — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monza

Inside the box5.37

Outside the box3.47

Atalanta

Inside the box11.05

Outside the box3.29

Player Shots Monza

S. Birindelli

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

Dany Mota

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Đurić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Maldini

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target10%

G. Kiriakopoulos

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Atalanta

J. Cuadrado

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target32%

M. Retegui

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target22%

S. Kolašinac

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

N. Zaniolo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monza xG (home)0.81

Atalanta xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

48.53% Possession 55.32%

Team Comparison Monza vs Atalanta

82.97% Pass accuracy 84.53%

421.76 Passes per match 506.58

-0.14 Goals prevented 0.11

13.47 Fouls committed 11.45

3.19 Goalkeeper saves 2.97

1.64 Offsides 1.54

14.74 Tackles per match 14.97

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monza vs Atalanta prediction analysis

Review Monza vs Atalanta with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights