What markets are included in the Monza vs Cagliari prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Monza vs Cagliari prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Monza vs Cagliari

Monza vs Cagliari prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-01-05 11:30

Monza

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Cagliari

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

28%

37%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Monza (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Cagliari (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Monza

LLWLL

Cagliari

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 58%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Monza averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Cagliari averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

28%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2025 Monza(A) 0 - 3 Cagliari Away

Jan 2025 Monza 1 - 2 Cagliari Away

Mar 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Cagliari Home

Nov 2023 Monza(A) 1 - 1 Cagliari Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Monza won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Monza — unbeaten run (home)0

Monza — scoring streak (home)1

Cagliari — winless run (away)2

Cagliari — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monza Win (1)36%

Draw (X)28%

Cagliari Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 58%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 42%

89% -1.5 79%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Monza vs Cagliari — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monza — scored (home)0.68

Monza — conceded (home)1.63

Cagliari — scored (away)0.84

Cagliari — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Monza — BTTS matches (home)58%

Cagliari — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%

Under 4.513%

Over 5.574%

Under 5.526%

Over 6.566%

Under 6.534%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monza (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.4

Cagliari (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Monza

5 10 7 8 10

Cagliari

5 9 6 16 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Monza (home)

For2.2

Cagliari (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Monza — total shots (home)10.5

Cagliari — total shots (away)8.7

Shots on Target

Monza — on target (home)2.9

Cagliari — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monza

Inside the box5.37

Outside the box3.47

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Monza

S. Birindelli

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

Dany Mota

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Đurić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Maldini

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target10%

G. Kiriakopoulos

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Gaetano

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Lapadula

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

N. Viola

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Zappa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monza xG (home)0.81

Cagliari xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

48.53% Possession 44.76%

Team Comparison Monza vs Cagliari

82.97% Pass accuracy 78.68%

421.76 Passes per match 370.08

-0.14 Goals prevented -0.03

13.47 Fouls committed 13.16

3.19 Goalkeeper saves 2.61

1.64 Offsides 1.76

14.74 Tackles per match 14.18

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monza vs Cagliari prediction analysis

Review Monza vs Cagliari with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights