What markets are included in the Monza vs Como prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Monza vs Como prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Monza vs Como

Monza vs Como prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-05 13:00

Monza

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Como

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

29%

34%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Monza (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Como (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Monza

LLWLL

Como

LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 68%

11% +1.5 26%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Monza averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Como averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

29%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2025 Monza 1 - 3 Como Away

Nov 2024 Monza(A) 1 - 1 Como Draw

Apr 2022 Monza(A) 0 - 2 Como Away

Nov 2021 Monza 3 - 2 Como Home

In the last 4 meetings, Monza won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Monza — unbeaten run (home)0

Monza — scoring streak (home)1

Como — winless run (away)1

Como — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monza Win (1)37%

Draw (X)29%

Como Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 68%

11% +1.5 26%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 32%

89% -1.5 74%

100% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Monza vs Como — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monza — scored (home)0.68

Monza — conceded (home)1.63

Como — scored (away)1.11

Como — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals2.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Monza — BTTS matches (home)58%

Como — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.577%

Under 4.523%

Over 5.569%

Under 5.531%

Over 6.563%

Under 6.537%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monza (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.4

Como (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Monza

5 10 7 8 10

Como

9 10 6 10 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Monza (home)

For2.2

Como (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Monza — total shots (home)10.5

Como — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Monza — on target (home)2.9

Como — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monza

Inside the box5.37

Outside the box3.47

Como

Inside the box8.68

Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Monza

S. Birindelli

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

Dany Mota

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Đurić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Maldini

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target10%

G. Kiriakopoulos

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target15%

N. Paz

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target20%

Assane Diao

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target27%

P. Cutrone

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target18%

A. Dossena

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monza xG (home)0.81

Como xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

48.53% Possession 54.79%

Team Comparison Monza vs Como

82.97% Pass accuracy 84.45%

421.76 Passes per match 464.71

-0.14 Goals prevented -0.05

13.47 Fouls committed 13.24

3.19 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.64 Offsides 1.81

14.74 Tackles per match 17.45

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monza vs Como prediction analysis

Review Monza vs Como with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights