What markets are included in the Monza vs Napoli prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Monza vs Napoli prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Monza vs Napoli

Monza vs Napoli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-19 16:00

Monza

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Napoli

Away

Prediction Summary

20%

26%

53%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Monza (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Napoli (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Monza

LLWLL

Napoli

WDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 79%

11% +1.5 37%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Monza averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Napoli averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

20%

Draw

26%

Away Win

53%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Monza 0 - 1 Napoli Away

Sep 2024 Monza(A) 0 - 2 Napoli Away

Apr 2024 Monza 2 - 4 Napoli Away

Dec 2023 Monza(A) 0 - 0 Napoli Draw

May 2023 Monza 2 - 0 Napoli Home

In the last 5 meetings, Monza won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Monza — unbeaten run (home)0

Monza — scoring streak (home)1

Napoli — winless run (away)1

Napoli — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monza Win (1)20%

Draw (X)26%

Napoli Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 79%

11% +1.5 37%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 21%

89% -1.5 63%

100% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Monza vs Napoli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monza — scored (home)0.68

Monza — conceded (home)1.63

Napoli — scored (away)1.42

Napoli — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals2.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Monza — BTTS matches (home)58%

Napoli — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%

Under 4.513%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.566%

Under 6.534%

Over 7.558%

Under 7.542%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monza (home)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.4

Napoli (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Monza

5 10 7 8 10

Napoli

7 7 8 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Monza (home)

For2.2

Napoli (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

Monza — total shots (home)10.5

Napoli — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Monza — on target (home)2.9

Napoli — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monza

Inside the box5.37

Outside the box3.47

Napoli

Inside the box9.26

Outside the box4

Player Shots Monza

S. Birindelli

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

Dany Mota

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Đurić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Maldini

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target10%

G. Kiriakopoulos

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Napoli

C. Ngonge

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target11%

G. Raspadori

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

P. Billing

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

S. McTominay

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target24%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monza xG (home)0.81

Napoli xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

48.53% Possession 54.55%

Team Comparison Monza vs Napoli

82.97% Pass accuracy 86.08%

421.76 Passes per match 485.32

-0.14 Goals prevented 0.04

13.47 Fouls committed 10.92

3.19 Goalkeeper saves 1.92

1.64 Offsides 1.49

14.74 Tackles per match 14.08

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monza vs Napoli prediction analysis

Review Monza vs Napoli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights