What markets are included in the Monza vs Sassuolo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Monza vs Sassuolo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Monza vs Sassuolo

Monza vs Sassuolo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-09-20 16:30

Monza

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Sassuolo

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

28%

38%

+2.5 Goals

43%

BTTS

49%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Monza (Home)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Sassuolo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sassuolo

LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 68%

0% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

0% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Monza averages 0 goals scored at home, while Sassuolo averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

28%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sassuolo Home

Oct 2023 Monza(A) 1 - 0 Sassuolo Home

May 2023 Monza(A) 2 - 1 Sassuolo Home

Jan 2023 Monza 1 - 1 Sassuolo Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Monza won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sassuolo — winless run (away)6

Sassuolo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monza Win (1)34%

Draw (X)28%

Sassuolo Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 68%

0% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 32%

100% -1.5 68%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Monza vs Sassuolo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monza — scored (home)0

Monza — conceded (home)0

Sassuolo — scored (away)1.11

Sassuolo — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Monza — BTTS matches (home)0%

Sassuolo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)29%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monza (home)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Sassuolo (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sassuolo

11 5 12 10 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%

Under 0.550%

Over 1.550%

Under 1.550%

Over 2.545%

Under 2.555%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Monza (home)

Forâ€”

Sassuolo (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%

Under 19.527%

Over 22.559%

Under 22.541%

Over 25.545%

Under 25.555%

Expected total shots25.37

Monza

Shots Over 9.576%

Shots Over 11.561%

Shots Over 13.546%

Expected shots13.51

On Target Over 3.560%

On Target Over 4.543%

On Target Over 5.528%

Expected on target4.33

Sassuolo

Shots Over 9.566%

Shots Over 11.549%

Shots Over 13.533%

Expected shots11.86

On Target Over 3.556%

On Target Over 4.539%

On Target Over 5.525%

Expected on target4.10

Shots per Game

Monza — total shots (home)â€”

Sassuolo — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Monza — on target (home)â€”

Sassuolo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monza

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Sassuolo

Inside the box7

Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Monza

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Sassuolo

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target19%

D. Berardi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Laurienté

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target16%

K. Thorstvedt

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target3%

C. Volpato

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monza xG (home)-

Sassuolo xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

-% Possession 46.13%

Team Comparison Monza vs Sassuolo

0% Pass accuracy 82.16%

- Passes per match 401.45

- Goals prevented 0.01

- Fouls committed 11.97

- Goalkeeper saves 3.53

- Offsides 1.89

- Tackles per match 13.66

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monza vs Sassuolo prediction analysis

Review Monza vs Sassuolo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights