Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Monza vs Udinese

Monza vs Udinese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2026-08-30 16:30
Monza
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Udinese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
26%
2
41%
+2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Monza (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Udinese (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Udinese
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 79%
0% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Monza averages 0 goals scored at home, while Udinese averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
26%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Monza(A) 2 - 1 Udinese Home
Dec 2024 Monza 1 - 2 Udinese Away
Feb 2024 Monza(A) 0 - 0 Udinese Draw
Oct 2023 Monza 1 - 1 Udinese Draw
Apr 2023 Monza(A) 2 - 2 Udinese Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Monza won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Udinese — winless run (away)1
Udinese — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Monza Win (1)33%
Draw (X)26%
Udinese Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 79%
0% +1.5 47%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 21%
100% -1.5 53%
100% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Monza vs Udinese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Monza — scored (home)0
Monza — conceded (home)0
Udinese — scored (away)1.42
Udinese — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Monza — BTTS matches (home)0%
Udinese — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)26.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Monza (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Udinese (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Udinese
9 7 12 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.540%
Under 2.560%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Monza (home)

For—

Udinese (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.03

Monza

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.41
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.14

Udinese

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.547%
Shots Over 13.532%
Expected shots11.62
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target4.00

Shots per Game

Monza — total shots (home)—
Udinese — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Monza — on target (home)—
Udinese — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Monza

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Udinese

Inside the box6.97
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Monza

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Udinese

K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
N. Zaniolo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Atta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
Rui Modesto
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Monza xG (home)-
Udinese xG (away)1.1

Average Possession

-% Possession 45.63%

Team Comparison Monza vs Udinese

0% Pass accuracy 80.47%
- Passes per match 369.95
- Goals prevented -0.02
- Fouls committed 13.58
- Goalkeeper saves 2.58
- Offsides 1.59
- Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Monza vs Udinese prediction analysis

Review Monza vs Udinese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top