What markets are included in the Moreirense vs Boavista prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Moreirense vs Boavista prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Moreirense vs Boavista

Moreirense vs Boavista prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-16 20:30

Moreirense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Boavista

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

25%

24%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Moreirense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate65%

Boavista (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Moreirense

WDLDL

Boavista

LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 59%

35% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Moreirense averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Boavista averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

25%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Moreirense 1 - 0 Boavista Home

Oct 2024 Moreirense(A) 2 - 0 Boavista Home

Mar 2024 Moreirense(A) 0 - 1 Boavista Away

Oct 2023 Moreirense 1 - 1 Boavista Draw

May 2022 Moreirense 1 - 2 Boavista Away

In the last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Moreirense — unbeaten run (home)2

Moreirense — scoring streak (home)2

Boavista — winless run (away)1

Boavista — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Moreirense Win (1)51%

Draw (X)25%

Boavista Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 59%

35% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 41%

65% -1.5 65%

82% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Moreirense vs Boavista — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Moreirense — scored (home)1.29

Moreirense — conceded (home)1.24

Boavista — scored (away)0.94

Boavista — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Moreirense — BTTS matches (home)65%

Boavista — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.536%

Under 9.564%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Moreirense (home)

Corners for3.1

Corners against4.9

Boavista (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Boavista

8 8 9 4 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Moreirense (home)

For2.5

Boavista (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Moreirense — total shots (home)10.5

Boavista — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Moreirense — on target (home)3.8

Boavista — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Boavista

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

R. Boženík

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target24%

Joel da Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Diaby

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target8%

Miguel Reisinho

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Moreirense xG (home)0.92

Boavista xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

47.47% Possession 39.79%

Team Comparison Moreirense vs Boavista

79.97% Pass accuracy 73.29%

384.35 Passes per match 315.88

-0.27 Goals prevented 0.24

14.59 Fouls committed 12.74

2.59 Goalkeeper saves 3.5

1.75 Offsides 2.53

16.35 Tackles per match 16.82

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Moreirense vs Boavista prediction analysis

Review Moreirense vs Boavista with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights