What markets are included in the Moreirense vs Estoril prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Moreirense vs Estoril prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Moreirense vs Estoril

Moreirense vs Estoril prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-05-11 17:00

Moreirense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Estoril

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

25%

33%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Moreirense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate65%

Estoril (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Moreirense

WDLDL

Estoril

WDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 65%

35% +1.5 53%

18% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Moreirense averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Estoril averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

25%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Moreirense 1 - 0 Estoril Home

Dec 2025 Moreirense(A) 3 - 3 Estoril Draw

May 2025 Moreirense 2 - 2 Estoril Draw

Dec 2024 Moreirense(A) 2 - 2 Estoril Draw

May 2024 Moreirense 2 - 1 Estoril Home

In the last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Moreirense — unbeaten run (home)2

Moreirense — scoring streak (home)2

Estoril — winless run (away)1

Estoril — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Moreirense Win (1)42%

Draw (X)25%

Estoril Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 65%

35% +1.5 53%

18% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 35%

65% -1.5 47%

82% -2.5 76%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Moreirense vs Estoril — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Moreirense — scored (home)1.29

Moreirense — conceded (home)1.24

Estoril — scored (away)1.47

Estoril — conceded (away)1.76

Model expected combined goals2.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Moreirense — BTTS matches (home)65%

Estoril — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.562%

Under 7.538%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.533%

Under 9.567%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Moreirense (home)

Corners for3.1

Corners against4.9

Estoril (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Estoril

3 8 6 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.583%

Under 2.517%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Moreirense (home)

For2.5

Estoril (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Moreirense — total shots (home)10.5

Estoril — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Moreirense — on target (home)3.8

Estoril — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Estoril

Inside the box5.38

Outside the box4.53

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Estoril

André Lacximicant

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target11%

Xeka

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

Y. Begraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target12%

Fabrício Garcia

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Boma

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Moreirense xG (home)0.92

Estoril xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

47.47% Possession 49.06%

Team Comparison Moreirense vs Estoril

79.97% Pass accuracy 79.91%

384.35 Passes per match 404.68

-0.27 Goals prevented -0.05

14.59 Fouls committed 15.88

2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.79

1.75 Offsides 1.24

16.35 Tackles per match 15.62

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Moreirense vs Estoril prediction analysis

Review Moreirense vs Estoril with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights