What markets are included in the Moreirense vs FC Porto prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Moreirense vs FC Porto prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Moreirense vs FC Porto

Moreirense vs FC Porto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-12-21 20:30

Moreirense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

FC Porto

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

25%

37%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Moreirense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate65%

FC Porto (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Moreirense

WDLDL

FC Porto

WWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%

35% +1.5 47%

18% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

65% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Moreirense averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while FC Porto averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

25%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Moreirense(A) 0 - 3 FC Porto Away

Oct 2025 Moreirense 1 - 2 FC Porto Away

May 2025 Moreirense(A) 1 - 3 FC Porto Away

Dec 2024 Moreirense 0 - 3 FC Porto Away

Nov 2024 Moreirense 2 - 1 FC Porto Home

In the last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Moreirense — unbeaten run (home)2

Moreirense — scoring streak (home)2

FC Porto — winless run (away)0

FC Porto — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Moreirense Win (1)37%

Draw (X)25%

FC Porto Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%

35% +1.5 47%

18% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%

65% -1.5 53%

82% -2.5 82%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 94%

Moreirense vs FC Porto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Moreirense — scored (home)1.29

Moreirense — conceded (home)1.24

FC Porto — scored (away)1.53

FC Porto — conceded (away)1.12

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Moreirense — BTTS matches (home)65%

FC Porto — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.577%

Under 5.523%

Over 6.565%

Under 6.535%

Over 7.550%

Under 7.550%

Over 8.538%

Under 8.562%

Over 9.527%

Under 9.573%

Over 10.515%

Under 10.585%

Expected total corners (blended average)7.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Moreirense (home)

Corners for3.1

Corners against4.9

FC Porto (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

FC Porto

9 16 11 4 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.597%

Under 2.53%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

Moreirense (home)

For2.5

FC Porto (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Moreirense — total shots (home)10.5

FC Porto — total shots (away)12.4

Shots on Target

Moreirense — on target (home)3.8

FC Porto — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

FC Porto

Inside the box9.71

Outside the box4.56

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots FC Porto

Galeno

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target44%

D. Namaso

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target14%

Samu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target30%

Iván Jaime

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

Pepê Aquino

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Moreirense xG (home)0.92

FC Porto xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

47.47% Possession 62.03%

Team Comparison Moreirense vs FC Porto

79.97% Pass accuracy 85.85%

384.35 Passes per match 514.44

-0.27 Goals prevented -0.06

14.59 Fouls committed 14.24

2.59 Goalkeeper saves 1.91

1.75 Offsides 1.45

16.35 Tackles per match 13.82

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Moreirense vs FC Porto prediction analysis

Review Moreirense vs FC Porto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights