What markets are included in the Moreirense vs GIL Vicente prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Moreirense vs GIL Vicente prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Moreirense vs GIL Vicente

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-11-08 20:15

Moreirense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

GIL Vicente

Away

Prediction Summary

66%

23%

11%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Moreirense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate65%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Moreirense

WDLDL

GIL Vicente

DDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 65%

35% +1.5 18%

18% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Moreirense averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

66%

Draw

23%

Away Win

11%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

35%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Moreirense 1 - 2 GIL Vicente Away

Aug 2025 Moreirense(A) 0 - 2 GIL Vicente Away

Apr 2025 Moreirense(A) 1 - 0 GIL Vicente Home

Jan 2025 Moreirense(A) 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Away

Nov 2024 Moreirense 3 - 2 GIL Vicente Home

In the last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Moreirense — unbeaten run (home)2

Moreirense — scoring streak (home)2

GIL Vicente — winless run (away)2

GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Moreirense Win (1)66%

Draw (X)23%

GIL Vicente Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 65%

35% +1.5 18%

18% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 35%

65% -1.5 82%

82% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Moreirense — scored (home)1.29

Moreirense — conceded (home)1.24

GIL Vicente — scored (away)0.94

GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals2.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%

No65%

Rate per Team

Moreirense — BTTS matches (home)65%

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.533%

Under 9.567%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Moreirense (home)

Corners for3.1

Corners against4.9

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

GIL Vicente

9 5 11 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Moreirense (home)

For2.5

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Moreirense — total shots (home)10.5

GIL Vicente — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Moreirense — on target (home)3.8

GIL Vicente — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Pablo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

K. Fujimoto

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Touré

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target8%

Félix Correia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Moreirense xG (home)0.92

GIL Vicente xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

47.47% Possession 50.85%

Team Comparison Moreirense vs GIL Vicente

79.97% Pass accuracy 81.62%

384.35 Passes per match 437.18

-0.27 Goals prevented -0.1

14.59 Fouls committed 11.62

2.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.75 Offsides 1.53

16.35 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review Moreirense vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights