What markets are included in the Moreirense vs Rio Ave prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Moreirense vs Rio Ave prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Moreirense vs Rio Ave

Moreirense vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-09-13 14:30

Moreirense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Rio Ave

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

26%

31%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Moreirense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate47%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Moreirense

DLWLW

Rio Ave

DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%

35% +1.5 35%

12% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Moreirense averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

26%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Moreirense(A) 2 - 1 Rio Ave Home

Sep 2025 Moreirense 3 - 1 Rio Ave Home

Apr 2025 Moreirense 0 - 2 Rio Ave Away

Nov 2024 Moreirense(A) 2 - 3 Rio Ave Away

Mar 2024 Moreirense 0 - 0 Rio Ave Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Moreirense — unbeaten run (home)3

Moreirense — scoring streak (home)0

Rio Ave — winless run (away)2

Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Moreirense Win (1)43%

Draw (X)26%

Rio Ave Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%

35% +1.5 35%

12% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%

65% -1.5 65%

88% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Moreirense vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Moreirense — scored (home)1.18

Moreirense — conceded (home)1.24

Rio Ave — scored (away)1.06

Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Moreirense — BTTS matches (home)47%

Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Moreirense (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.1

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Moreirense

6 11 5 9 8

Rio Ave

13 8 16 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Moreirense (home)

For2.4

Rio Ave (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Moreirense — total shots (home)9.4

Rio Ave — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Moreirense — on target (home)3.1

Rio Ave — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Moreirense

Inside the box5.26

Outside the box3.65

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box4

Player Shots Moreirense

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target40%

Bernardo Martins

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target15%

N. John

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target7%

Diogo Travassos

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Rio Ave

Clayton

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target47%

J. Blesa

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target31%

André Luiz

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target21%

M. Vrousai

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target13%

Tamble Monteiro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Moreirense xG (home)0.93

Rio Ave xG (away)1.04

Average Possession

49.56% Possession 47.03%

Team Comparison Moreirense vs Rio Ave

82.47% Pass accuracy 81.68%

430.18 Passes per match 386.65

-0.01 Goals prevented 0.13

13.94 Fouls committed 12.88

3.09 Goalkeeper saves 3.38

1.23 Offsides 1.57

14.21 Tackles per match 15.59

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Moreirense vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review Moreirense vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights