Prediction Analysis: Moreirense vs SC Braga
Moreirense vs SC Braga prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primeira Liga
2026-08-09
19:30
Moreirense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
SC Braga
Away
Prediction Summary
1
28%
X
26%
2
46%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Moreirense (Home)
Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%
SC Braga (Away)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
Moreirense
DLWLW
SC Braga
DDDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
94%
35%
+1.5
47%
12%
+2.5
24%
0%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.
Moreirense averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while SC Braga averages 1.76 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
28%
Draw
26%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Moreirense
0 - 1
SC Braga
Away
Nov 2025
Moreirense(A)
1 - 2
SC Braga
Away
Feb 2025
Moreirense
1 - 2
SC Braga
Away
Aug 2024
Moreirense(A)
1 - 3
SC Braga
Away
Feb 2024
Moreirense(A)
0 - 1
SC Braga
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.
Current Streaks
Moreirense — unbeaten run (home)3
Moreirense — scoring streak (home)0
SC Braga — winless run (away)2
SC Braga — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Moreirense Win (1)28%
Draw (X)26%
SC Braga Win (2)46%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
94%
35%
+1.5
47%
12%
+2.5
24%
0%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
6%
65%
-1.5
53%
88%
-2.5
76%
100%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
100%
Moreirense vs SC Braga — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Moreirense — scored (home)1.18
Moreirense — conceded (home)1.24
SC Braga — scored (away)1.76
SC Braga — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.62
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Moreirense — BTTS matches (home)47%
SC Braga — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)53%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Moreirense (home)
Corners for4.0
Corners against5.1
SC Braga (away)
Corners for5.3
Corners against3.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Moreirense
6
11
5
9
8
SC Braga
9
5
9
10
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Moreirense (home)
For2.4
SC Braga (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.564%
Under 19.536%
Over 22.549%
Under 22.551%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.24
Moreirense
Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.37
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.81
SC Braga
Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.86
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.19
Shots per Game
Moreirense — total shots (home)9.4
SC Braga — total shots (away)12.3
Shots on Target
Moreirense — on target (home)3.1
SC Braga — on target (away)5.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Moreirense
Inside the box5.26
Outside the box3.65
SC Braga
Inside the box7.79
Outside the box3.85
Player Shots Moreirense
Guilherme Schettine
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target40%
Bernardo Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Alan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. John
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%
Diogo Travassos
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%
Player Shots SC Braga
Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target50%
Ricardo Horta
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Zalazar
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target21%
Pau Victor
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. El Ouazzani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Moreirense xG (home)0.93
SC Braga xG (away)1.69
Average Possession
49.56%
Possession
62.85%
Team Comparison Moreirense vs SC Braga
82.47%
Pass accuracy
86.88%
430.18
Passes per match
603.32
-0.01
Goals prevented
0
13.94
Fouls committed
11.74
3.09
Goalkeeper saves
2.24
1.23
Offsides
1.34
14.21
Tackles per match
13.59
League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Moreirense vs SC Braga prediction analysis
Review Moreirense vs SC Braga with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights