What markets are included in the Moreirense vs Sporting CP prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Moreirense vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Moreirense vs Sporting CP

Moreirense vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-12-05 20:15

Moreirense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

67%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-2

Sporting CP

Away

Prediction Summary

15%

18%

67%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Moreirense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate65%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.82

Goals conceded / match0.82

Over 2.5 rate65%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Moreirense

WDLDL

Sporting CP

WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 94%

35% +1.5 71%

18% +2.5 65%

0% +3.5 29%

0% +4.5 18%

65% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

Moreirense averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

15%

Draw

18%

Away Win

67%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Moreirense 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away

Sep 2025 Moreirense(A) 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away

Apr 2025 Moreirense(A) 1 - 3 Sporting CP Away

Dec 2024 Moreirense 2 - 1 Sporting CP Home

Feb 2024 Moreirense 0 - 2 Sporting CP Away

In the last 5 meetings, Moreirense won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Moreirense — unbeaten run (home)2

Moreirense — scoring streak (home)2

Sporting CP — winless run (away)1

Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Moreirense Win (1)15%

Draw (X)18%

Sporting CP Win (2)67%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 94%

35% +1.5 71%

18% +2.5 65%

0% +3.5 29%

0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 6%

65% -1.5 29%

82% -2.5 35%

100% -3.5 71%

100% -4.5 82%

Moreirense vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Moreirense — scored (home)1.29

Moreirense — conceded (home)1.24

Sporting CP — scored (away)2.82

Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.82

Model expected combined goals3.45

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Moreirense — BTTS matches (home)65%

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.527%

Under 9.573%

Over 10.515%

Under 10.585%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Moreirense (home)

Corners for3.1

Corners against4.9

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Sporting CP

6 8 11 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Moreirense (home)

For2.5

Sporting CP (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Moreirense — total shots (home)10.5

Sporting CP — total shots (away)17.8

Shots on Target

Moreirense — on target (home)3.8

Sporting CP — on target (away)6.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56

Outside the box5.79

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres

Shots on Target/Game2.8

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target70%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target14%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target29%

M. Hjulmand

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target4%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Moreirense xG (home)0.92

Sporting CP xG (away)2.14

Average Possession

47.47% Possession 60.44%

Team Comparison Moreirense vs Sporting CP

79.97% Pass accuracy 87.03%

384.35 Passes per match 520.47

-0.27 Goals prevented -0.26

14.59 Fouls committed 11.5

2.59 Goalkeeper saves 1.41

1.75 Offsides 1.16

16.35 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Moreirense vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Moreirense vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights