Prediction Analysis: Morton vs Arbroath
Morton vs Arbroath prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Championship
2026-08-22
14:00
Morton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Arbroath
Away
Prediction Summary
1
36%
X
31%
2
33%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Morton (Home)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Arbroath (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate44%
Team Form last 5 matches
Morton
DLDLL
Arbroath
DDWLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
61%
+0.5
50%
28%
+1.5
28%
0%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
44%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.
Morton averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Arbroath averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
68%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
36%
Draw
31%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
40%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Morton
2 - 1
Arbroath
Home
Jan 2026
Morton(A)
1 - 1
Arbroath
Draw
Nov 2025
Morton
1 - 0
Arbroath
Home
Sep 2025
Morton(A)
1 - 1
Arbroath
Draw
Apr 2024
Morton(A)
2 - 1
Arbroath
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Morton won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Morton — unbeaten run (home)3
Morton — scoring streak (home)1
Arbroath — winless run (away)6
Arbroath — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Morton Win (1)36%
Draw (X)31%
Arbroath Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
61%
+0.5
50%
28%
+1.5
28%
0%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
39%
-0.5
50%
72%
-1.5
72%
100%
-2.5
89%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Morton vs Arbroath — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Morton — scored (home)0.89
Morton — conceded (home)1.06
Arbroath — scored (away)0.89
Arbroath — conceded (away)1.17
Model expected combined goals2
Both Teams To Score
Yes40%
No60%
Rate per Team
Morton — BTTS matches (home)50%
Arbroath — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)47%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Morton (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Arbroath (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Morton (home)
For—
Arbroath (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Morton — total shots (home)—
Arbroath — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Morton — on target (home)—
Arbroath — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Morton
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Arbroath
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Morton vs Arbroath
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Morton vs Arbroath prediction analysis
Review Morton vs Arbroath with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights