What markets are included in the Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Premiership 2025-09-27 16:45

Motherwell

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Aberdeen

Away

Prediction Summary

62%

24%

14%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Motherwell (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match0.68

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Aberdeen (Away)

Goals scored / match0.63

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate26%

Team Form last 5 matches

Motherwell

WLDLW

Aberdeen

LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 42%

63% +1.5 16%

11% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 26%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Motherwell averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Aberdeen averages 0.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

62%

Draw

24%

Away Win

14%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Motherwell(A) 0 - 2 Aberdeen Away

Feb 2026 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen Home

Nov 2025 Motherwell(A) 1 - 1 Aberdeen Draw

Sep 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen Home

Sep 2025 Motherwell(A) 1 - 0 Aberdeen Home

In the last 5 meetings, Motherwell won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Motherwell — unbeaten run (home)0

Motherwell — scoring streak (home)3

Aberdeen — winless run (away)12

Aberdeen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Motherwell Win (1)62%

Draw (X)24%

Aberdeen Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 42%

63% +1.5 16%

11% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 58%

37% -1.5 84%

89% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Motherwell vs Aberdeen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Motherwell — scored (home)1.68

Motherwell — conceded (home)0.68

Aberdeen — scored (away)0.63

Aberdeen — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.34

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Motherwell — BTTS matches (home)37%

Aberdeen — BTTS matches (away)26%

Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.522%

Under 10.578%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Motherwell (home)

Corners for3.8

Corners against3.7

Aberdeen (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Motherwell

12 7 8 7 11

Aberdeen

11 9 6 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Motherwell (home)

For1.2

Aberdeen (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Motherwell — total shots (home)14.1

Aberdeen — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Motherwell — on target (home)5.5

Aberdeen — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box4.68

Aberdeen

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box3.87

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target37%

C. Slattery

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target13%

E. Just

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Stamatelopoulos

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target21%

C. Hendry

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Aberdeen

J. Karlsson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Aouchiche

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

K. Nisbet

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Polvara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

S. Armstrong

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell xG (home)1.41

Aberdeen xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

57.89% Possession 48.05%

Team Comparison Motherwell vs Aberdeen

84.5% Pass accuracy 76.18%

533 Passes per match 392.42

-0.06 Goals prevented -0.41

11.66 Fouls committed 14.29

2.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

2.24 Offsides 1.81

14.55 Tackles per match 15.63

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction analysis

Review Motherwell vs Aberdeen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights