Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Motherwell vs Dundee

Motherwell vs Dundee prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-20 15:00
Motherwell
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Dundee
Away

Prediction Summary

1
67%
X
22%
2
11%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Motherwell (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Dundee (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Motherwell
WLDLW
Dundee
WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 37%
63% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Motherwell averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Dundee averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
67%
Draw
22%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Motherwell(A) 1 - 2 Dundee Away
Dec 2025 Motherwell 1 - 0 Dundee Home
Sep 2025 Motherwell(A) 1 - 1 Dundee Draw
May 2025 Motherwell(A) 2 - 1 Dundee Home
Feb 2025 Motherwell 2 - 1 Dundee Home

In the last 5 meetings, Motherwell won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Motherwell — unbeaten run (home)0
Motherwell — scoring streak (home)3
Dundee — winless run (away)4
Dundee — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Motherwell Win (1)67%
Draw (X)22%
Dundee Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 37%
63% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 63%
37% -1.5 84%
89% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Motherwell vs Dundee — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Motherwell — scored (home)1.68
Motherwell — conceded (home)0.68
Dundee — scored (away)0.58
Dundee — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%
No66%

Rate per Team

Motherwell — BTTS matches (home)37%
Dundee — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)34.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.540%
Under 8.560%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Motherwell (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.7

Dundee (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11
Dundee
6 11 12 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Motherwell (home)

For1.2

Dundee (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

Motherwell — total shots (home)14.1
Dundee — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Motherwell — on target (home)5.5
Dundee — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Dundee

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Dundee

C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell xG (home)1.41
Dundee xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

57.89% Possession 43.66%

Team Comparison Motherwell vs Dundee

84.5% Pass accuracy 75.21%
533 Passes per match 353.37
-0.06 Goals prevented -0.35
11.66 Fouls committed 9.34
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.71
2.24 Offsides 1.44
14.55 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Motherwell vs Dundee prediction analysis

Review Motherwell vs Dundee with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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