Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-10-29 19:45
Motherwell
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dundee Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
23%
2
41%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Motherwell (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Dundee Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Motherwell
WLDLW
Dundee Utd
DDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 68%
63% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Motherwell averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Dundee Utd averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
23%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Motherwell 2 - 0 Dundee Utd Home
Dec 2025 Motherwell(A) 0 - 0 Dundee Utd Draw
Oct 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Dundee Utd Home
Feb 2025 Motherwell(A) 0 - 1 Dundee Utd Away
Dec 2024 Motherwell 4 - 3 Dundee Utd Home

In the last 5 meetings, Motherwell won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Motherwell — unbeaten run (home)0
Motherwell — scoring streak (home)3
Dundee Utd — winless run (away)6
Dundee Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Motherwell Win (1)36%
Draw (X)23%
Dundee Utd Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 68%
63% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 32%
37% -1.5 53%
89% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Motherwell — scored (home)1.68
Motherwell — conceded (home)0.68
Dundee Utd — scored (away)1.32
Dundee Utd — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

Motherwell — BTTS matches (home)37%
Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.566%
Under 6.534%
Over 7.555%
Under 7.545%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Motherwell (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.7

Dundee Utd (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11
Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Motherwell (home)

For1.2

Dundee Utd (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Motherwell — total shots (home)14.1
Dundee Utd — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Motherwell — on target (home)5.5
Dundee Utd — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell xG (home)1.41
Dundee Utd xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

57.89% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

84.5% Pass accuracy 68.03%
533 Passes per match 314.68
-0.06 Goals prevented -0.18
11.66 Fouls committed 12.89
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
2.24 Offsides 1.69
14.55 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd prediction analysis

Review Motherwell vs Dundee Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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