Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Motherwell vs Falkirk

Motherwell vs Falkirk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-08-08 14:00
Motherwell
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Falkirk
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
25%
2
19%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Motherwell (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Falkirk (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Motherwell
WLDLW
Falkirk
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 56%
63% +1.5 28%
11% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Motherwell averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Falkirk averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
25%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 Motherwell(A) 0 - 1 Falkirk Away
Apr 2026 Motherwell 2 - 3 Falkirk Away
Dec 2025 Motherwell(A) 0 - 0 Falkirk Draw
Oct 2025 Motherwell 1 - 2 Falkirk Away

In the last 4 meetings, Motherwell won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Motherwell — unbeaten run (home)0
Motherwell — scoring streak (home)3
Falkirk — winless run (away)2
Falkirk — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Motherwell Win (1)57%
Draw (X)25%
Falkirk Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 56%
63% +1.5 28%
11% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 44%
37% -1.5 72%
89% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Motherwell vs Falkirk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Motherwell — scored (home)1.68
Motherwell — conceded (home)0.68
Falkirk — scored (away)0.94
Falkirk — conceded (away)1.56
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Motherwell — BTTS matches (home)37%
Falkirk — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Motherwell (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.7

Falkirk (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11
Falkirk
16 7 11 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Motherwell (home)

For1.2

Falkirk (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.554%
Under 22.546%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.17

Motherwell

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.68
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.10

Falkirk

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.50
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.37

Shots per Game

Motherwell — total shots (home)14.1
Falkirk — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Motherwell — on target (home)5.5
Falkirk — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Falkirk

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Falkirk

B. Stewart
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. MacIver
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
Brian Graham
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Broggio
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell xG (home)1.41
Falkirk xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

57.89% Possession 50.79%

Team Comparison Motherwell vs Falkirk

84.5% Pass accuracy 76.66%
533 Passes per match 400.39
-0.06 Goals prevented -0.43
11.66 Fouls committed 12.05
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
2.24 Offsides 2.14
14.55 Tackles per match 18.11

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Motherwell vs Falkirk prediction analysis

Review Motherwell vs Falkirk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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