Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Motherwell vs Hibernian

Motherwell vs Hibernian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-25 19:45
Motherwell
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Hibernian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
26%
2
36%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Motherwell (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Hibernian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Motherwell
WLDLW
Hibernian
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%
63% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Motherwell averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Hibernian averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
26%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Motherwell(A) 1 - 0 Hibernian Home
Mar 2026 Motherwell 0 - 0 Hibernian Draw
Jan 2026 Motherwell(A) 1 - 1 Hibernian Draw
Nov 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Hibernian Home
Jan 2025 Motherwell(A) 1 - 3 Hibernian Away

In the last 5 meetings, Motherwell won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Motherwell — unbeaten run (home)0
Motherwell — scoring streak (home)3
Hibernian — winless run (away)0
Hibernian — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Motherwell Win (1)37%
Draw (X)26%
Hibernian Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%
63% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%
37% -1.5 47%
89% -2.5 79%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Motherwell vs Hibernian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Motherwell — scored (home)1.68
Motherwell — conceded (home)0.68
Hibernian — scored (away)1.37
Hibernian — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Motherwell — BTTS matches (home)37%
Hibernian — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Motherwell (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.7

Hibernian (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11
Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Motherwell (home)

For1.2

Hibernian (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Motherwell — total shots (home)14.1
Hibernian — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Motherwell — on target (home)5.5
Hibernian — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell xG (home)1.41
Hibernian xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

57.89% Possession 46.74%

Team Comparison Motherwell vs Hibernian

84.5% Pass accuracy 77.37%
533 Passes per match 392.29
-0.06 Goals prevented -0.28
11.66 Fouls committed 11.05
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
2.24 Offsides 1.81
14.55 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Motherwell vs Hibernian prediction analysis

Review Motherwell vs Hibernian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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