Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Motherwell vs Livingston

Motherwell vs Livingston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-06 15:00
Motherwell
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Livingston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
24%
2
17%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Motherwell (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Livingston (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Motherwell
WLDLW
Livingston
LDLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 50%
63% +1.5 30%
11% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Motherwell averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Livingston averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
24%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Motherwell(A) 2 - 0 Livingston Home
Dec 2025 Motherwell 3 - 0 Livingston Home
Oct 2025 Motherwell(A) 2 - 1 Livingston Home
May 2024 Motherwell 4 - 1 Livingston Home
Feb 2024 Motherwell(A) 3 - 1 Livingston Home

In the last 5 meetings, Motherwell won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Motherwell — unbeaten run (home)0
Motherwell — scoring streak (home)3
Livingston — winless run (away)2
Livingston — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Motherwell Win (1)59%
Draw (X)24%
Livingston Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 50%
63% +1.5 30%
11% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 50%
37% -1.5 70%
89% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Motherwell vs Livingston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Motherwell — scored (home)1.68
Motherwell — conceded (home)0.68
Livingston — scored (away)0.8
Livingston — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.51

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Motherwell — BTTS matches (home)37%
Livingston — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Motherwell (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.7

Livingston (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11
Livingston
15 9 12 15 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Motherwell (home)

For1.2

Livingston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Motherwell — total shots (home)14.1
Livingston — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Motherwell — on target (home)5.5
Livingston — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell xG (home)1.41
Livingston xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

57.89% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Motherwell vs Livingston

84.5% Pass accuracy 73.13%
533 Passes per match 372.84
-0.06 Goals prevented 0.11
11.66 Fouls committed 12.89
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
2.24 Offsides 1.49
14.55 Tackles per match 15.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Motherwell vs Livingston prediction analysis

Review Motherwell vs Livingston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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