Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Motherwell vs Rangers

Motherwell vs Rangers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-08-02 16:30
Motherwell
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Rangers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
35%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Motherwell (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Rangers (Away)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Motherwell
WLDLW
Rangers
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 95%
63% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 11%
37% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Motherwell averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Rangers averages 1.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Motherwell(A) 3 - 2 Rangers Home
Feb 2026 Motherwell 1 - 1 Rangers Draw
Dec 2025 Motherwell(A) 0 - 1 Rangers Away
Aug 2025 Motherwell 1 - 1 Rangers Draw
Mar 2025 Motherwell(A) 2 - 1 Rangers Home

In the last 5 meetings, Motherwell won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Motherwell — unbeaten run (home)0
Motherwell — scoring streak (home)3
Rangers — winless run (away)0
Rangers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Motherwell Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Rangers Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 95%
63% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 5%
37% -1.5 53%
89% -2.5 74%
95% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 89%

Motherwell vs Rangers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Motherwell — scored (home)1.68
Motherwell — conceded (home)0.68
Rangers — scored (away)1.95
Rangers — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Motherwell — BTTS matches (home)37%
Rangers — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Motherwell (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.7

Rangers (away)

Corners for6.8
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11
Rangers
12 8 8 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Motherwell (home)

For1.2

Rangers (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Motherwell — total shots (home)14.1
Rangers — total shots (away)14.9

Shots on Target

Motherwell — on target (home)5.5
Rangers — on target (away)5.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Rangers

Inside the box11.13
Outside the box5.34

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Rangers

Youssef Chermiti
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Moore
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Naderi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Aasgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Motherwell xG (home)1.41
Rangers xG (away)1.85

Average Possession

57.89% Possession 57.97%

Team Comparison Motherwell vs Rangers

84.5% Pass accuracy 82.95%
533 Passes per match 470.21
-0.06 Goals prevented -0.6
11.66 Fouls committed 12.16
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
2.24 Offsides 1.58
14.55 Tackles per match 17.11

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Motherwell vs Rangers prediction analysis

Review Motherwell vs Rangers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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