Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock

MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-10-03 17:00
MSV Duisburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Hansa Rostock
Away

Prediction Summary

1
62%
X
24%
2
14%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

MSV Duisburg (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate84%

Hansa Rostock (Away)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match0.89
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

MSV Duisburg
DDWLW
Hansa Rostock
WWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 68%
74% +1.5 47%
32% +2.5 32%
11% +3.5 21%
0% +4.5 5%
84% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

MSV Duisburg averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Hansa Rostock averages 1.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
62%
Draw
24%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
37%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 MSV Duisburg(A) 1 - 5 Hansa Rostock Away
Oct 2025 MSV Duisburg 2 - 2 Hansa Rostock Draw

In the last 2 meetings, MSV Duisburg won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

MSV Duisburg — unbeaten run (home)19
MSV Duisburg — scoring streak (home)10
Hansa Rostock — winless run (away)0
Hansa Rostock — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

MSV Duisburg Win (1)62%
Draw (X)24%
Hansa Rostock Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 68%
74% +1.5 47%
32% +2.5 32%
11% +3.5 21%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 32%
26% -1.5 53%
68% -2.5 68%
89% -3.5 79%
100% -4.5 95%

MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

MSV Duisburg — scored (home)2.11
MSV Duisburg — conceded (home)1
Hansa Rostock — scored (away)1.74
Hansa Rostock — conceded (away)0.89
Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%
No63%

Rate per Team

MSV Duisburg — BTTS matches (home)84%
Hansa Rostock — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.577%
Under 4.523%
Over 5.573%
Under 5.527%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

MSV Duisburg (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.3

Hansa Rostock (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

MSV Duisburg
10 5 7 8 0
Hansa Rostock
15 12 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

MSV Duisburg (home)

For2.3

Hansa Rostock (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

MSV Duisburg — total shots (home)11.7
Hansa Rostock — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

MSV Duisburg — on target (home)5.2
Hansa Rostock — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

MSV Duisburg

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.56

Hansa Rostock

Inside the box9.67
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots MSV Duisburg

P. Sussek
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target24%
L. Lobinger
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
T. Töpken
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Noß
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Kother
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Hansa Rostock

E. Holten
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target19%
A. Voglsammer
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target24%
R. Naderi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Kinsombi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Krauß
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

MSV Duisburg xG (home)1.52
Hansa Rostock xG (away)2.04

Average Possession

46.92% Possession 55.92%

Team Comparison MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock

78.36% Pass accuracy 81.25%
379.32 Passes per match 466.08
0 Goals prevented 0
13.56 Fouls committed 12.5
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 2.96
1.6 Offsides 1.75
3.22 Tackles per match 2.95

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock prediction analysis

Review MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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