Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim

MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-11-07 18:00
MSV Duisburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Waldhof Mannheim
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
23%
2
29%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

MSV Duisburg (Home)

Goals scored / match2.11
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate84%

Waldhof Mannheim (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match2.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

MSV Duisburg
DDWLW
Waldhof Mannheim
LWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 74%
74% +1.5 42%
32% +2.5 21%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
84% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

MSV Duisburg averages 2.11 goals scored at home, while Waldhof Mannheim averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
23%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 MSV Duisburg(A) 4 - 1 Waldhof Mannheim Home
Nov 2025 MSV Duisburg 2 - 1 Waldhof Mannheim Home

In the last 2 meetings, MSV Duisburg won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

MSV Duisburg — unbeaten run (home)19
MSV Duisburg — scoring streak (home)10
Waldhof Mannheim — winless run (away)8
Waldhof Mannheim — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

MSV Duisburg Win (1)47%
Draw (X)23%
Waldhof Mannheim Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 74%
74% +1.5 42%
32% +2.5 21%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 26%
26% -1.5 58%
68% -2.5 79%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

MSV Duisburg — scored (home)2.11
MSV Duisburg — conceded (home)1
Waldhof Mannheim — scored (away)1.37
Waldhof Mannheim — conceded (away)2.21
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

MSV Duisburg — BTTS matches (home)84%
Waldhof Mannheim — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)76%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.574%
Under 4.526%
Over 5.571%
Under 5.529%
Over 6.568%
Under 6.532%
Over 7.555%
Under 7.545%
Over 8.546%
Under 8.554%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

MSV Duisburg (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.3

Waldhof Mannheim (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

MSV Duisburg
10 5 7 8 0
Waldhof Mannheim
0 14 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

MSV Duisburg (home)

For2.3

Waldhof Mannheim (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

MSV Duisburg — total shots (home)11.7
Waldhof Mannheim — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

MSV Duisburg — on target (home)5.2
Waldhof Mannheim — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

MSV Duisburg

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.56

Waldhof Mannheim

Inside the box7.96
Outside the box5.25

Player Shots MSV Duisburg

P. Sussek
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target24%
L. Lobinger
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
T. Töpken
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Noß
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Kother
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Waldhof Mannheim

K. Okpala
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Lohkemper
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target35%
T. Boyd
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
K. Asallari
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
N. Shipnoski
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

MSV Duisburg xG (home)1.52
Waldhof Mannheim xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

46.92% Possession 48.38%

Team Comparison MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim

78.36% Pass accuracy 79.08%
379.32 Passes per match 387.75
0 Goals prevented 0
13.56 Fouls committed 13.17
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.6 Offsides 1.75
3.22 Tackles per match 3.5

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim prediction analysis

Review MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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