Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle

NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-10-18 19:00
NAC Breda
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
25%
2
35%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

NAC Breda (Home)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

PEC Zwolle (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match2.94
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

NAC Breda
DWLLD
PEC Zwolle
LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 94%
41% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

NAC Breda averages 1.18 goals scored at home, while PEC Zwolle averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 NAC Breda(A) 1 - 2 PEC Zwolle Away
Oct 2025 NAC Breda 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle Draw
May 2025 NAC Breda 1 - 3 PEC Zwolle Away
Oct 2024 NAC Breda(A) 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle Home
Mar 2023 NAC Breda(A) 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle Away

In the last 5 meetings, NAC Breda won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

NAC Breda — unbeaten run (home)1
NAC Breda — scoring streak (home)1
PEC Zwolle — winless run (away)16
PEC Zwolle — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

NAC Breda Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
PEC Zwolle Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 94%
41% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 6%
59% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

NAC Breda — scored (home)1.18
NAC Breda — conceded (home)1.35
PEC Zwolle — scored (away)1.35
PEC Zwolle — conceded (away)2.94
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

NAC Breda — BTTS matches (home)47%
PEC Zwolle — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

NAC Breda (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against4.1

PEC Zwolle (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

NAC Breda
13 13 12 10 13
PEC Zwolle
7 8 6 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

NAC Breda (home)

For1.5

PEC Zwolle (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

NAC Breda — total shots (home)14.9
PEC Zwolle — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

NAC Breda — on target (home)4.4
PEC Zwolle — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

NAC Breda

Inside the box8.56
Outside the box5.56

PEC Zwolle

Inside the box6.12
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots NAC Breda

M. Soumano
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. van Hooijdonk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Brym
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Nassoh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Ayew
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots PEC Zwolle

K. Kostons
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target26%
Y. Namli
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
T. Oosting
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Velanas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Shoretire
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

NAC Breda xG (home)1.21
PEC Zwolle xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

48.85% Possession 44.94%

Team Comparison NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle

77.59% Pass accuracy 77.53%
394.91 Passes per match 379.68
0.02 Goals prevented -0.25
10.82 Fouls committed 11.53
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 4.09
1.52 Offsides 1.74
16.24 Tackles per match 17.29

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle prediction analysis

Review NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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