Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo

NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eerste Divisie 2026-08-14 18:00
NAC Breda
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VVV Venlo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
24%
2
26%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

NAC Breda (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

VVV Venlo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

VVV Venlo
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

NAC Breda averages 0 goals scored at home, while VVV Venlo averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2024 NAC Breda 1 - 0 VVV Venlo Home
Sep 2023 NAC Breda(A) 1 - 3 VVV Venlo Away
Mar 2023 NAC Breda(A) 3 - 1 VVV Venlo Home
Sep 2022 NAC Breda 1 - 2 VVV Venlo Away
Apr 2022 NAC Breda 3 - 1 VVV Venlo Home

In the last 5 meetings, NAC Breda won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

VVV Venlo — winless run (away)9
VVV Venlo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

NAC Breda Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
VVV Venlo Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 26%
100% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

NAC Breda — scored (home)0
NAC Breda — conceded (home)0
VVV Venlo — scored (away)1.26
VVV Venlo — conceded (away)1.68
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

NAC Breda — BTTS matches (home)0%
VVV Venlo — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)29%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

NAC Breda (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

VVV Venlo (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

VVV Venlo
11 13 13 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.548%
Under 1.552%
Over 2.534%
Under 2.566%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

NAC Breda (home)

For—

VVV Venlo (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.567%
Under 22.533%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.83

NAC Breda

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.572%
Shots Over 13.557%
Expected shots14.96
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.22

VVV Venlo

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.87
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.22

Shots per Game

NAC Breda — total shots (home)—
VVV Venlo — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

NAC Breda — on target (home)—
VVV Venlo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

NAC Breda

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

VVV Venlo

Inside the box8.97
Outside the box4.37

Player Shots NAC Breda

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots VVV Venlo

D. Zandbergen
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target26%
N. Ait Mouhou
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Odriss
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Kluskens
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
Bjorn van Zijl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

NAC Breda xG (home)-
VVV Venlo xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

-% Possession 49.08%

Team Comparison NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo

0% Pass accuracy 76.61%
- Passes per match 399.87
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 12.26
- Goalkeeper saves 3.47
- Offsides 1.74
- Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo prediction analysis

Review NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eerste Divisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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