What markets are included in the Nacional vs Famalicao prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nacional vs Famalicao prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nacional vs Famalicao

Nacional vs Famalicao prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-03-01 15:30

Nacional

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Famalicao

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

25%

42%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Nacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.59

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Famalicao (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1.59

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nacional

LDLDL

Famalicao

WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 88%

47% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nacional averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Famalicao averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

25%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Nacional(A) 0 - 1 Famalicao Away

Nov 2025 Nacional 0 - 1 Famalicao Away

Mar 2025 Nacional 2 - 1 Famalicao Home

Sep 2024 Nacional(A) 0 - 0 Famalicao Draw

May 2021 Nacional(A) 0 - 3 Famalicao Away

In the last 5 meetings, Nacional won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Nacional — unbeaten run (home)1

Nacional — scoring streak (home)2

Famalicao — winless run (away)3

Famalicao — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nacional Win (1)33%

Draw (X)25%

Famalicao Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 88%

47% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 12%

53% -1.5 65%

82% -2.5 82%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Nacional vs Famalicao — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nacional — scored (home)1.35

Nacional — conceded (home)1.59

Famalicao — scored (away)1.41

Famalicao — conceded (away)1.59

Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Nacional — BTTS matches (home)47%

Famalicao — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nacional (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against5.0

Famalicao (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nacional

Famalicao

9 15 14 9 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Nacional (home)

For2.2

Famalicao (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Nacional — total shots (home)14.4

Famalicao — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Nacional — on target (home)4.5

Famalicao — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nacional

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box6.15

Famalicao

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box5.09

Player Shots Nacional

Dudu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target14%

Paulinho Bóia

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Daniel Penha

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Rúben Macedo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Famalicao

Pedro Francisco

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

S. Elisor

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target7%

Gil Dias

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target17%

Sorriso

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target17%

Z. Youssouf

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacional xG (home)1.03

Famalicao xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

47.29% Possession 50.38%

Team Comparison Nacional vs Famalicao

76.94% Pass accuracy 79.24%

339.32 Passes per match 397

0 Goals prevented 0.14

13.5 Fouls committed 14

3.15 Goalkeeper saves 3.06

1.65 Offsides 1.18

15.94 Tackles per match 16.44

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nacional vs Famalicao prediction analysis

Review Nacional vs Famalicao with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights