What markets are included in the Nacional vs GIL Vicente prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nacional vs GIL Vicente prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nacional vs GIL Vicente

Nacional vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-19 14:30

Nacional

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

GIL Vicente

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

25%

26%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Nacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.59

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nacional

LDLDL

GIL Vicente

DDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%

47% +1.5 18%

18% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Nacional averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

25%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Nacional(A) 1 - 2 GIL Vicente Away

Aug 2025 Nacional 0 - 2 GIL Vicente Away

Apr 2025 Nacional 0 - 3 GIL Vicente Away

Dec 2024 Nacional(A) 1 - 2 GIL Vicente Away

Nov 2022 Nacional(A) 0 - 2 GIL Vicente Away

In the last 5 meetings, Nacional won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Nacional — unbeaten run (home)1

Nacional — scoring streak (home)2

GIL Vicente — winless run (away)2

GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nacional Win (1)49%

Draw (X)25%

GIL Vicente Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%

47% +1.5 18%

18% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%

53% -1.5 82%

82% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Nacional vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nacional — scored (home)1.35

Nacional — conceded (home)1.59

GIL Vicente — scored (away)0.94

GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals2.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Nacional — BTTS matches (home)47%

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nacional (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against5.0

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nacional

9 7 9 9 10

GIL Vicente

9 5 11 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Nacional (home)

For2.2

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Nacional — total shots (home)14.4

GIL Vicente — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Nacional — on target (home)4.5

GIL Vicente — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nacional

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box6.15

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Nacional

Dudu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target14%

Paulinho Bóia

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Daniel Penha

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Rúben Macedo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Pablo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

K. Fujimoto

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Touré

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target8%

Félix Correia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacional xG (home)1.03

GIL Vicente xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

47.29% Possession 50.85%

Team Comparison Nacional vs GIL Vicente

76.94% Pass accuracy 81.62%

339.32 Passes per match 437.18

0 Goals prevented -0.1

13.5 Fouls committed 11.62

3.15 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.65 Offsides 1.53

15.94 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nacional vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review Nacional vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights