What markets are included in the Nacional vs Moreirense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nacional vs Moreirense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nacional vs Moreirense

Nacional vs Moreirense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-12-14 18:00

Nacional

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

57%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Moreirense

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

24%

40%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Nacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.59

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Moreirense (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nacional

LDLDL

Moreirense

WDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 76%

47% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nacional averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Moreirense averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

24%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Nacional(A) 1 - 1 Moreirense Draw

Oct 2025 Nacional 3 - 2 Moreirense Home

Apr 2025 Nacional(A) 1 - 1 Moreirense Draw

Dec 2024 Nacional 1 - 0 Moreirense Home

Mar 2023 Nacional 0 - 2 Moreirense Away

In the last 5 meetings, Nacional won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Nacional — unbeaten run (home)1

Nacional — scoring streak (home)2

Moreirense — winless run (away)0

Moreirense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nacional Win (1)35%

Draw (X)24%

Moreirense Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 76%

47% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 24%

53% -1.5 65%

82% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Nacional vs Moreirense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nacional — scored (home)1.35

Nacional — conceded (home)1.59

Moreirense — scored (away)1.18

Moreirense — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Nacional — BTTS matches (home)47%

Moreirense — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nacional (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against5.0

Moreirense (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nacional

9 7 9 9 10

Moreirense

6 7 11 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Nacional (home)

For2.2

Moreirense (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Nacional — total shots (home)14.4

Moreirense — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Nacional — on target (home)4.5

Moreirense — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nacional

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box6.15

Moreirense

Inside the box5.76

Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Nacional

Dudu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target14%

Paulinho Bóia

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Daniel Penha

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Rúben Macedo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Moreirense

Dinis Pinto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target7%

Madson

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target21%

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

Luís Asué

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacional xG (home)1.03

Moreirense xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

47.29% Possession 47.47%

Team Comparison Nacional vs Moreirense

76.94% Pass accuracy 79.97%

339.32 Passes per match 384.35

0 Goals prevented -0.27

13.5 Fouls committed 14.59

3.15 Goalkeeper saves 2.59

1.65 Offsides 1.75

15.94 Tackles per match 16.35

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nacional vs Moreirense prediction analysis

Review Nacional vs Moreirense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights