What markets are included in the Nacional vs Santa Clara prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nacional vs Santa Clara prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nacional vs Santa Clara

Nacional vs Santa Clara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-11-04 20:15

Nacional

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

70%

Confidence

High

Score

1-2

Santa Clara

Away

Prediction Summary

19%

62%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Nacional (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.59

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Santa Clara (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nacional

LDLDL

Santa Clara

WWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%

47% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

Nacional averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Santa Clara averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

19%

Draw

19%

Away Win

62%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Nacional(A) 0 - 2 Santa Clara Away

Jan 2026 Nacional 3 - 3 Santa Clara Draw

Mar 2025 Nacional(A) 0 - 1 Santa Clara Away

Nov 2024 Nacional 2 - 0 Santa Clara Home

Mar 2024 Nacional(A) 1 - 0 Santa Clara Home

In the last 5 meetings, Nacional won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Nacional — unbeaten run (home)1

Nacional — scoring streak (home)2

Santa Clara — winless run (away)0

Santa Clara — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nacional Win (1)19%

Draw (X)19%

Santa Clara Win (2)62%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%

47% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%

53% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Nacional vs Santa Clara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nacional — scored (home)1.35

Nacional — conceded (home)1.59

Santa Clara — scored (away)1.06

Santa Clara — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals3.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

Nacional — BTTS matches (home)47%

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.536%

Under 9.564%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nacional (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against5.0

Santa Clara (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nacional

9 7 9 9 10

Santa Clara

10 8 8 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.597%

Under 2.53%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Nacional (home)

For2.2

Santa Clara (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

Nacional — total shots (home)14.4

Santa Clara — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Nacional — on target (home)4.5

Santa Clara — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nacional

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box6.15

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.97

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Nacional

Dudu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target14%

Paulinho Bóia

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Daniel Penha

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Rúben Macedo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Santa Clara

Wendel

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Serginho

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target3%

Ricardinho

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target11%

Gabriel Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target12%

Vinícius Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacional xG (home)1.03

Santa Clara xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

47.29% Possession 44.47%

Team Comparison Nacional vs Santa Clara

76.94% Pass accuracy 74.5%

339.32 Passes per match 340

0 Goals prevented 0.13

13.5 Fouls committed 16.62

3.15 Goalkeeper saves 2.48

1.65 Offsides 1.97

15.94 Tackles per match 16.29

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nacional vs Santa Clara prediction analysis

Review Nacional vs Santa Clara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights