Prediction Analysis: Nancy vs Montpellier
Nancy vs Montpellier prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Nancy
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Away Win
Pick
Montpellier
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1

Montpellier
Away
Prediction Summary
1
23%
X
29%
2
47%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Nancy (Home)
Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%
Montpellier (Away)
Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match0.65
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate24%
Team Form last 5 matches
Nancy
WWDLD
Montpellier
DLWWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
59%
+0.5
53%
29%
+1.5
24%
6%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
24%
Model Insight
The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.
Nancy averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while Montpellier averages 0.82 goals scored away.
Model Strength
66%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
23%
Draw
29%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
Head-to-Head last 2
Mar 2026
Nancy
0 - 3
Montpellier
Away
Oct 2025
Nancy(A)
1 - 4
Montpellier
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Nancy won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Nancy — unbeaten run (home)1
Nancy — scoring streak (home)4
Montpellier — winless run (away)1
Montpellier — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Nancy Win (1)23%
Draw (X)29%
Montpellier Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
59%
+0.5
53%
29%
+1.5
24%
6%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
41%
-0.5
47%
71%
-1.5
76%
94%
-2.5
94%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Nancy vs Montpellier — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Nancy — scored (home)0.94
Nancy — conceded (home)1.71
Montpellier — scored (away)0.82
Montpellier — conceded (away)0.65
Model expected combined goals2.06
Both Teams To Score
Yes39%
No61%
Rate per Team
Nancy — BTTS matches (home)41%
Montpellier — BTTS matches (away)24%
Combined (simple average)32.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Nancy (home)
Corners for5.4
Corners against3.6
Montpellier (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against5.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Nancy
7
4
4
11
8
Montpellier
8
5
15
13
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Nancy (home)
For1.6
Montpellier (away)
For2.2
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.566%
Under 19.534%
Over 22.550%
Under 22.550%
Over 25.535%
Under 25.565%
Expected total shots23.18
Nancy
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.81
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.95
Montpellier
Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.37
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.80
Shots per Game
Nancy — total shots (home)12.7
Montpellier — total shots (away)9.5
Shots on Target
Nancy — on target (home)3.3
Montpellier — on target (away)3.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Nancy
Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.62
Montpellier
Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.94
Player Shots Nancy
Z. Fdaouch
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Dabasse
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
B. Bokangu
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
N. Fernandez-Veliz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target3%
T. Bouriaud
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Montpellier
Alexandre Mendy
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Savanier
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Pays
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
Everson
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Chennahi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target3%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Nancy xG (home)0
Montpellier xG (away)0
Average Possession
41.76%
Possession
52.41%
Team Comparison Nancy vs Montpellier
73.76%
Pass accuracy
80.46%
336.59
Passes per match
423.24
0
Goals prevented
0
14.56
Fouls committed
15.91
3
Goalkeeper saves
3.26
2.06
Offsides
2.53
16
Tackles per match
16.5
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Nancy vs Montpellier prediction analysis
Review Nancy vs Montpellier with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights