Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Nancy vs Montpellier

Nancy vs Montpellier prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Ligue 2 2026-08-14 18:45
Nancy
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Away Win
Pick
Montpellier
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Montpellier
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
29%
2
47%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Nancy (Home)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Montpellier (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match0.65
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nancy
WWDLD
Montpellier
DLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 53%
29% +1.5 24%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nancy averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while Montpellier averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
29%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Nancy 0 - 3 Montpellier Away
Oct 2025 Nancy(A) 1 - 4 Montpellier Away

In the last 2 meetings, Nancy won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Nancy — unbeaten run (home)1
Nancy — scoring streak (home)4
Montpellier — winless run (away)1
Montpellier — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nancy Win (1)23%
Draw (X)29%
Montpellier Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 53%
29% +1.5 24%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 47%
71% -1.5 76%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Nancy vs Montpellier — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nancy — scored (home)0.94
Nancy — conceded (home)1.71
Montpellier — scored (away)0.82
Montpellier — conceded (away)0.65
Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Nancy — BTTS matches (home)41%
Montpellier — BTTS matches (away)24%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nancy (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.6

Montpellier (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nancy
7 4 4 11 8
Montpellier
8 5 15 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Nancy (home)

For1.6

Montpellier (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.566%
Under 19.534%
Over 22.550%
Under 22.550%
Over 25.535%
Under 25.565%
Expected total shots23.18

Nancy

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.81
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.95

Montpellier

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.37
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.80

Shots per Game

Nancy — total shots (home)12.7
Montpellier — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Nancy — on target (home)3.3
Montpellier — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nancy

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.62

Montpellier

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.94

Player Shots Nancy

Z. Fdaouch
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Dabasse
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
B. Bokangu
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
N. Fernandez-Veliz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target3%
T. Bouriaud
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Montpellier

Alexandre Mendy
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Savanier
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Pays
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target13%
Everson
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Chennahi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nancy xG (home)0
Montpellier xG (away)0

Average Possession

41.76% Possession 52.41%

Team Comparison Nancy vs Montpellier

73.76% Pass accuracy 80.46%
336.59 Passes per match 423.24
0 Goals prevented 0
14.56 Fouls committed 15.91
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.26
2.06 Offsides 2.53
16 Tackles per match 16.5
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nancy vs Montpellier prediction analysis

Review Nancy vs Montpellier with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 2.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 2
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top