What markets are included in the Nantes vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nantes vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nantes vs Lille

Nantes vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-10-19 18:45

Nantes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

74%

Confidence

High

Score

1-2

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

21%

49%

Over 2.5

74%

BTTS Yes

72%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Nantes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13

Goals conceded / match1.69

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate50%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.18

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nantes

LWLLD

Lille

LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

69% +0.5 65%

31% +1.5 41%

13% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

50% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.

Nantes averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

21%

Away Win

49%

Over 2.5

74%

BTTS Yes

72%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Nantes(A) 0 - 1 Lille Away

Oct 2025 Nantes 0 - 2 Lille Away

Mar 2025 Nantes 1 - 0 Lille Home

Jan 2025 Nantes(A) 1 - 1 Lille Draw

May 2024 Nantes 1 - 2 Lille Away

In the last 5 meetings, Nantes won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Nantes — unbeaten run (home)2

Nantes — scoring streak (home)3

Lille — winless run (away)0

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nantes Win (1)30%

Draw (X)21%

Lille Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

69% +0.5 65%

31% +1.5 41%

13% +2.5 24%

0% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

31% -0.5 35%

69% -1.5 59%

87% -2.5 76%

100% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 94%

Nantes vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nantes — scored (home)1.13

Nantes — conceded (home)1.69

Lille — scored (away)1.65

Lille — conceded (away)1.18

Model expected combined goals3.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%

No28%

Rate per Team

Nantes — BTTS matches (home)50%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.564%

Under 7.536%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nantes (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.1

Lille (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nantes

11 13 14 15 11

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Nantes (home)

For1.9

Lille (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Nantes — total shots (home)12.1

Lille — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Nantes — on target (home)3.5

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nantes

Inside the box7.3

Outside the box4

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Nantes

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

I. Ganago

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

M. Kaba

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Cabella

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target18%

Y. El-Arabi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nantes xG (home)1.1

Lille xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 55.85%

Team Comparison Nantes vs Lille

77.85% Pass accuracy 85.09%

349.06 Passes per match 496.88

0.1 Goals prevented 0.2

12.76 Fouls committed 10.88

3.27 Goalkeeper saves 2.24

1.31 Offsides 1.47

17.21 Tackles per match 15.15

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nantes vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Nantes vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights