What markets are included in the Nantes vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nantes vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nantes vs Lille

Nantes vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-03-15 16:00

Nantes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

27%

42%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Nantes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate47%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nantes

WDLDD

Lille

WLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 71%

29% +1.5 47%

12% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nantes averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

27%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Nantes(A) 0 - 1 Lille Away

Oct 2025 Nantes 0 - 2 Lille Away

Mar 2025 Nantes 1 - 0 Lille Home

Jan 2025 Nantes(A) 1 - 1 Lille Draw

May 2024 Nantes 1 - 2 Lille Away

In the last 5 meetings, Nantes won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Nantes — unbeaten run (home)1

Nantes — scoring streak (home)1

Lille — winless run (away)1

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nantes Win (1)30%

Draw (X)27%

Lille Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 71%

29% +1.5 47%

12% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 29%

71% -1.5 53%

88% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Nantes vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nantes — scored (home)1.12

Nantes — conceded (home)1.06

Lille — scored (away)1.24

Lille — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Nantes — BTTS matches (home)47%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.585%

Under 7.515%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nantes (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against6.1

Lille (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nantes

Lille

12 9 7 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Nantes (home)

For2.1

Lille (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Nantes — total shots (home)12.2

Lille — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Nantes — on target (home)4.0

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nantes

Inside the box7.62

Outside the box2.68

Lille

Inside the box9.03

Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Nantes

Mostafa Mohamed

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target18%

Bahereba Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target5%

Louis Leroux

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target6%

Douglas Augusto

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Lille

Tiago Santos

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target29%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target31%

C. Akpom

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

O. Sahraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

André Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nantes xG (home)1.17

Lille xG (away)1.64

Average Possession

39.97% Possession 57.94%

Team Comparison Nantes vs Lille

79.53% Pass accuracy 86.21%

367.76 Passes per match 541.15

0.06 Goals prevented 0.26

12.12 Fouls committed 12.06

2.94 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

1.11 Offsides 1.5

18.91 Tackles per match 18.41

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nantes vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Nantes vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights