What markets are included in the Nantes vs Lorient prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nantes vs Lorient prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nantes vs Lorient

Nantes vs Lorient prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-23 16:15

Nantes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Lorient

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

25%

26%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Nantes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13

Goals conceded / match1.69

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate50%

Lorient (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nantes

LWLLD

Lorient

LWDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

69% +0.5 47%

31% +1.5 29%

13% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Nantes averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Lorient averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

25%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Nantes(A) 0 - 1 Lorient Away

Jan 2026 Nantes(A) 1 - 2 Lorient Away

Nov 2025 Nantes 1 - 1 Lorient Draw

Feb 2024 Nantes(A) 1 - 0 Lorient Home

Sep 2023 Nantes 5 - 3 Lorient Home

In the last 5 meetings, Nantes won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Nantes — unbeaten run (home)2

Nantes — scoring streak (home)3

Lorient — winless run (away)0

Lorient — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nantes Win (1)49%

Draw (X)25%

Lorient Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

69% +0.5 47%

31% +1.5 29%

13% +2.5 18%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

31% -0.5 53%

69% -1.5 71%

87% -2.5 82%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Nantes vs Lorient — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nantes — scored (home)1.13

Nantes — conceded (home)1.69

Lorient — scored (away)1

Lorient — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Nantes — BTTS matches (home)50%

Lorient — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.567%

Under 7.533%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.549%

Under 9.551%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nantes (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.1

Lorient (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nantes

11 13 14 15 11

Lorient

8 16 14 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.567%

Under 2.533%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Nantes (home)

For1.9

Lorient (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Nantes — total shots (home)12.1

Lorient — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Nantes — on target (home)3.5

Lorient — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nantes

Inside the box7.3

Outside the box4

Lorient

Inside the box7.12

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Nantes

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

I. Ganago

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

M. Kaba

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Cabella

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target18%

Y. El-Arabi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Lorient

B. Dieng

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target32%

P. Pagis

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target11%

J. Makengo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Tosin

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nantes xG (home)1.1

Lorient xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 45.35%

Team Comparison Nantes vs Lorient

77.85% Pass accuracy 83.94%

349.06 Passes per match 427.03

0.1 Goals prevented -0.3

12.76 Fouls committed 9.59

3.27 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.31 Offsides 1.72

17.21 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nantes vs Lorient prediction analysis

Review Nantes vs Lorient with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights