What markets are included in the Nantes vs Marseille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nantes vs Marseille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes vs Marseille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2024-11-03 19:45

Nantes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

67%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-2

Marseille

Away

Prediction Summary

21%

20%

59%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS Yes

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Nantes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate47%

Marseille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nantes

WDLDD

Marseille

WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 59%

12% +2.5 35%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 12%

47% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nantes averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Marseille averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

21%

Draw

20%

Away Win

59%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS Yes

64%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Nantes 3 - 0 Marseille Home

Jan 2026 Nantes(A) 2 - 0 Marseille Home

Mar 2025 Nantes(A) 0 - 2 Marseille Away

Nov 2024 Nantes 1 - 2 Marseille Away

Mar 2024 Nantes(A) 0 - 2 Marseille Away

In the last 5 meetings, Nantes won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Nantes — unbeaten run (home)1

Nantes — scoring streak (home)1

Marseille — winless run (away)0

Marseille — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nantes Win (1)21%

Draw (X)20%

Marseille Win (2)59%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 76%

29% +1.5 59%

12% +2.5 35%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 24%

71% -1.5 41%

88% -2.5 65%

100% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 88%

Nantes vs Marseille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nantes — scored (home)1.12

Nantes — conceded (home)1.06

Marseille — scored (away)1.94

Marseille — conceded (away)1.41

Model expected combined goals3.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%

No36%

Rate per Team

Nantes — BTTS matches (home)47%

Marseille — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.586%

Under 6.514%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nantes (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against6.1

Marseille (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nantes

8 8 10 10 9

Marseille

9 7 7 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Nantes (home)

For2.1

Marseille (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Nantes — total shots (home)12.2

Marseille — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Nantes — on target (home)4.0

Marseille — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nantes

Inside the box7.62

Outside the box2.68

Marseille

Inside the box9.94

Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Nantes

Mostafa Mohamed

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target18%

Bahereba Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target5%

Louis Leroux

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target6%

Douglas Augusto

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target59%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

A. Rabiot

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

E. Wahi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target15%

B. Nadir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nantes xG (home)1.17

Marseille xG (away)1.91

Average Possession

39.97% Possession 63.59%

Team Comparison Nantes vs Marseille

79.53% Pass accuracy 88.94%

367.76 Passes per match 642.18

0.06 Goals prevented 0.11

12.12 Fouls committed 11.59

2.94 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.11 Offsides 1.66

18.91 Tackles per match 16.21

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nantes vs Marseille prediction analysis

Review Nantes vs Marseille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights