What markets are included in the Nantes vs Metz prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nantes vs Metz prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nantes vs Metz

Nantes vs Metz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-02 16:15

Nantes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

79%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Metz

Away

Prediction Summary

63%

17%

20%

Over 2.5

79%

BTTS Yes

72%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Nantes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13

Goals conceded / match1.69

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate50%

Metz (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match2.59

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nantes

LWLLD

Metz

DLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

69% +0.5 59%

31% +1.5 29%

13% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

Nantes averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Metz averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

63%

Draw

17%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

79%

BTTS Yes

72%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Nantes(A) 0 - 0 Metz Draw

Nov 2025 Nantes 0 - 2 Metz Away

Mar 2024 Nantes 0 - 2 Metz Away

Nov 2023 Nantes(A) 1 - 3 Metz Away

Feb 2022 Nantes(A) 0 - 0 Metz Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Nantes won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Nantes — unbeaten run (home)2

Nantes — scoring streak (home)3

Metz — winless run (away)11

Metz — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nantes Win (1)63%

Draw (X)17%

Metz Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

69% +0.5 59%

31% +1.5 29%

13% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

31% -0.5 41%

69% -1.5 71%

87% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Nantes vs Metz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nantes — scored (home)1.13

Nantes — conceded (home)1.69

Metz — scored (away)1

Metz — conceded (away)2.59

Model expected combined goals4.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%

No28%

Rate per Team

Nantes — BTTS matches (home)50%

Metz — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nantes (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.1

Metz (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nantes

11 13 14 15 11

Metz

11 10 14 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Nantes (home)

For1.9

Metz (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Nantes — total shots (home)12.1

Metz — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Nantes — on target (home)3.5

Metz — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nantes

Inside the box7.3

Outside the box4

Metz

Inside the box6.26

Outside the box3.79

Player Shots Nantes

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

I. Ganago

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

M. Kaba

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Cabella

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target18%

Y. El-Arabi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Metz

G. Kvilitaia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Diallo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Hein

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Abuashvili

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Kouao

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nantes xG (home)1.1

Metz xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

42.03% Possession 48.94%

Team Comparison Nantes vs Metz

77.85% Pass accuracy 85.24%

349.06 Passes per match 451.74

0.1 Goals prevented 0.07

12.76 Fouls committed 11.38

3.27 Goalkeeper saves 3.62

1.31 Offsides 1.5

17.21 Tackles per match 16.71

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nantes vs Metz prediction analysis

Review Nantes vs Metz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights