What markets are included in the Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain

Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-22 18:45

Nantes

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-2

Paris Saint Germain

Away

Prediction Summary

20%

21%

60%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Nantes (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate47%

Paris Saint Germain (Away)

Goals scored / match2.76

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate59%

BTTS rate82%

Team Form last 5 matches

Nantes

WDLDD

Paris Saint Germain

WWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 94%

29% +1.5 65%

12% +2.5 59%

0% +3.5 41%

0% +4.5 12%

47% BTTS 82%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Nantes averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Paris Saint Germain averages 2.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

20%

Draw

21%

Away Win

60%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Nantes(A) 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Away

Aug 2025 Nantes 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Away

Apr 2025 Nantes 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Draw

Nov 2024 Nantes(A) 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Draw

Feb 2024 Nantes 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Away

In the last 5 meetings, Nantes won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Nantes — unbeaten run (home)1

Nantes — scoring streak (home)1

Paris Saint Germain — winless run (away)0

Paris Saint Germain — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Nantes Win (1)20%

Draw (X)21%

Paris Saint Germain Win (2)60%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 94%

29% +1.5 65%

12% +2.5 59%

0% +3.5 41%

0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 6%

71% -1.5 35%

88% -2.5 41%

100% -3.5 59%

100% -4.5 88%

Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Nantes — scored (home)1.12

Nantes — conceded (home)1.06

Paris Saint Germain — scored (away)2.76

Paris Saint Germain — conceded (away)1.12

Model expected combined goals3.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Nantes — BTTS matches (home)47%

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (away)82%

Combined (simple average)64.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.583%

Under 7.517%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.539%

Under 10.561%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Nantes (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against6.1

Paris Saint Germain (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Nantes

Paris Saint Germain

8 17 8 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Nantes (home)

For2.1

Paris Saint Germain (away)

For1.1

Shots per Game

Nantes — total shots (home)12.2

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (away)16.5

Shots on Target

Nantes — on target (home)4.0

Paris Saint Germain — on target (away)8.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Nantes

Inside the box7.62

Outside the box2.68

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box12.94

Outside the box5.74

Player Shots Nantes

Mostafa Mohamed

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target18%

Bahereba Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target5%

Douglas Augusto

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

Louis Leroux

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

Gonçalo Ramos

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target50%

O. Dembélé

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target83%

+1.5 On Target48%

Marco Asensio

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target42%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target21%

D. Doué

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nantes xG (home)1.17

Paris Saint Germain xG (away)2.64

Average Possession

39.97% Possession 68.41%

Team Comparison Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain

79.53% Pass accuracy 91.03%

367.76 Passes per match 719

0.06 Goals prevented 0.28

12.12 Fouls committed 9.03

2.94 Goalkeeper saves 2.09

1.11 Offsides 1.59

18.91 Tackles per match 18.21

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain prediction analysis

Review Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights