What markets are included in the Napoli vs Cagliari prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Napoli vs Cagliari prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Napoli vs Cagliari

Napoli vs Cagliari prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-23 18:45

Napoli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Cagliari

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

26%

19%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Napoli (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match0.68

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate42%

Cagliari (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Napoli

WDDWW

Cagliari

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 58%

63% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Napoli averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Cagliari averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Napoli(A) 1 - 0 Cagliari Home

Dec 2025 Napoli 1 - 1 Cagliari Draw

Aug 2025 Napoli 1 - 0 Cagliari Home

May 2025 Napoli 2 - 0 Cagliari Home

Sep 2024 Napoli(A) 4 - 0 Cagliari Home

In the last 5 meetings, Napoli won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Napoli — unbeaten run (home)11

Napoli — scoring streak (home)11

Cagliari — winless run (away)2

Cagliari — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Napoli Win (1)55%

Draw (X)26%

Cagliari Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 58%

63% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 42%

37% -1.5 79%

84% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Napoli vs Cagliari — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Napoli — scored (home)1.68

Napoli — conceded (home)0.68

Cagliari — scored (away)0.84

Cagliari — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.36

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Napoli — BTTS matches (home)42%

Cagliari — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Napoli (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against3.3

Cagliari (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Napoli

7 7 8 5 11

Cagliari

5 9 6 16 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Napoli (home)

For1.2

Cagliari (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Napoli — total shots (home)16.3

Cagliari — total shots (away)8.7

Shots on Target

Napoli — on target (home)5.0

Cagliari — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Napoli

Inside the box9.26

Outside the box4

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Napoli

C. Ngonge

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target11%

G. Raspadori

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

P. Billing

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

S. McTominay

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target24%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Gaetano

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Lapadula

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

N. Viola

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Zappa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli xG (home)1.43

Cagliari xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

54.55% Possession 44.76%

Team Comparison Napoli vs Cagliari

86.08% Pass accuracy 78.68%

485.32 Passes per match 370.08

0.04 Goals prevented -0.03

10.92 Fouls committed 13.16

1.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.61

1.49 Offsides 1.76

14.08 Tackles per match 14.18

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Napoli vs Cagliari prediction analysis

Review Napoli vs Cagliari with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights