What markets are included in the Napoli vs Como prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Napoli vs Como prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Napoli vs Como

Napoli vs Como prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-30 16:30

Napoli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Como

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

27%

37%

+2.5 Goals

46%

BTTS

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Napoli (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Como (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Napoli

WWLDW

Como

WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 68%

63% +1.5 47%

21% +2.5 26%

5% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

58% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Napoli averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Como averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

27%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 Napoli(A) 0 - 0 Como Draw

Nov 2025 Napoli 0 - 0 Como Draw

Feb 2025 Napoli(A) 1 - 2 Como Away

Oct 2024 Napoli 3 - 1 Como Home

In the last 4 meetings, Napoli won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Napoli — unbeaten run (home)1

Napoli — scoring streak (home)3

Como — winless run (away)0

Como — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Napoli Win (1)36%

Draw (X)27%

Como Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 68%

63% +1.5 47%

21% +2.5 26%

5% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 32%

37% -1.5 53%

79% -2.5 74%

95% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 95%

Napoli vs Como — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Napoli — scored (home)1.74

Napoli — conceded (home)0.95

Como — scored (away)1.58

Como — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Napoli — BTTS matches (home)58%

Como — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Napoli (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against2.6

Como (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Napoli

12 5 8 7 6

Como

5 5 14 17 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Napoli (home)

For1.1

Como (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%

Under 19.530%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.541%

Under 25.559%

Expected total shots24.46

Napoli

Shots Over 9.576%

Shots Over 11.561%

Shots Over 13.545%

Expected shots13.40

On Target Over 3.564%

On Target Over 4.547%

On Target Over 5.532%

Expected on target4.57

Como

Shots Over 9.560%

Shots Over 11.542%

Shots Over 13.527%

Expected shots11.06

On Target Over 3.545%

On Target Over 4.528%

On Target Over 5.516%

Expected on target3.49

Shots per Game

Napoli — total shots (home)13.8

Como — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

Napoli — on target (home)5.2

Como — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Napoli

Inside the box8.47

Outside the box4.74

Como

Inside the box9.53

Outside the box4.92

Player Shots Napoli

Alisson Santos

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target43%

S. McTominay

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target30%

R. Højlund

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target21%

K. De Bruyne

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Zambo Anguissa

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Como

N. Paz

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target34%

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target21%

Assane Diao

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. Addai

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

L. da Cunha

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli xG (home)1.35

Como xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

58.87% Possession 61.61%

Team Comparison Napoli vs Como

86.66% Pass accuracy 87.05%

556.63 Passes per match 527.13

-0.18 Goals prevented 0.09

11.18 Fouls committed 13.29

2.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.32

1.7 Offsides 1.23

12.16 Tackles per match 16.42

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Napoli vs Como prediction analysis

Review Napoli vs Como with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights