Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Champions League 2025-11-04 17:45
Napoli
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
21%
2
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Napoli (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Eintracht Frankfurt (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Napoli
LDLWD
Eintracht Frankfurt
LLLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 75%
75% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Napoli averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 3

Nov 2025 Napoli 0 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt Draw
Mar 2023 Napoli 3 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt Home
Feb 2023 Napoli(A) 2 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt Home

In the last 3 meetings, Napoli won 2, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Napoli — unbeaten run (home)0
Napoli — scoring streak (home)2
Eintracht Frankfurt — winless run (away)4
Eintracht Frankfurt — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Napoli Win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Eintracht Frankfurt Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 75%
75% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 25%
25% -1.5 75%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Napoli — scored (home)1.5
Napoli — conceded (home)1
Eintracht Frankfurt — scored (away)1
Eintracht Frankfurt — conceded (away)2.5
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Napoli — BTTS matches (home)50%
Eintracht Frankfurt — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)62.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.525%
Under 8.575%
Over 9.513%
Under 9.587%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Napoli (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt (away)

Corners for1.5
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Napoli
8 10 8 12 5
Eintracht Frankfurt
8 11 5 8 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Napoli (home)

For2.0

Eintracht Frankfurt (away)

For1.3

Shots per Game

Napoli — total shots (home)13.8
Eintracht Frankfurt — total shots (away)6.8

Shots on Target

Napoli — on target (home)4.8
Eintracht Frankfurt — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Napoli

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3.38

Eintracht Frankfurt

Inside the box4.38
Outside the box2.5

Player Shots Napoli

S. McTominay
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target38%
A. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Højlund
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
David Neres
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Olivera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Eintracht Frankfurt

C. Uzun
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Burkardt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
F. Chaïbi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Knauff
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Kristensen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli xG (home)1.33
Eintracht Frankfurt xG (away)0.77

Average Possession

51.63% Possession 39.5%

Team Comparison Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt

86.38% Pass accuracy 79.5%
513 Passes per match 412.13
0.06 Goals prevented -0.41
13.75 Fouls committed 9
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 4.63
1.13 Offsides 1.63
13.63 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction analysis

Review Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top