What markets are included in the Napoli vs Frosinone prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Napoli vs Frosinone prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Napoli vs Frosinone

Napoli vs Frosinone prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-10-11 16:30

Napoli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Frosinone

Away

Prediction Summary

60%

22%

18%

+2.5 Goals

52%

BTTS

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Napoli (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Frosinone (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Napoli

WWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 0%

63% +1.5 0%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Napoli averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Frosinone averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

60%

Draw

22%

Away Win

18%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2024 Napoli 2 - 2 Frosinone Draw

Aug 2023 Napoli(A) 3 - 1 Frosinone Home

In the last 2 meetings, Napoli won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Napoli — unbeaten run (home)1

Napoli — scoring streak (home)3

1X2 Probability model

Napoli Win (1)60%

Draw (X)22%

Frosinone Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 0%

63% +1.5 0%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 100%

37% -1.5 100%

79% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Napoli vs Frosinone — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Napoli — scored (home)1.74

Napoli — conceded (home)0.95

Frosinone — scored (away)0

Frosinone — conceded (away)0

Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Napoli — BTTS matches (home)58%

Frosinone — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)29%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Napoli (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against2.6

Frosinone (away)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Napoli

12 5 8 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%

Under 0.552%

Over 1.545%

Under 1.555%

Over 2.534%

Under 2.566%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Napoli (home)

For1.1

Frosinone (away)

Forâ€”

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%

Under 19.527%

Over 22.560%

Under 22.540%

Over 25.546%

Under 25.554%

Expected total shots25.46

Napoli

Shots Over 9.582%

Shots Over 11.569%

Shots Over 13.555%

Expected shots14.71

On Target Over 3.568%

On Target Over 4.552%

On Target Over 5.537%

Expected on target4.92

Frosinone

Shots Over 9.557%

Shots Over 11.539%

Shots Over 13.525%

Expected shots10.75

On Target Over 3.543%

On Target Over 4.526%

On Target Over 5.515%

Expected on target3.37

Shots per Game

Napoli — total shots (home)13.8

Frosinone — total shots (away)â€”

Shots on Target

Napoli — on target (home)5.2

Frosinone — on target (away)â€”

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Napoli

Inside the box8.47

Outside the box4.74

Frosinone

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Player Shots Napoli

Alisson Santos

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target43%

S. McTominay

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target30%

R. Højlund

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target21%

K. De Bruyne

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Zambo Anguissa

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Frosinone

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli xG (home)1.35

Frosinone xG (away)-

Average Possession

58.87% Possession -%

Team Comparison Napoli vs Frosinone

86.66% Pass accuracy 0%

556.63 Passes per match -

-0.18 Goals prevented -

11.18 Fouls committed -

2.03 Goalkeeper saves -

1.7 Offsides -

12.16 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Napoli vs Frosinone prediction analysis

Review Napoli vs Frosinone with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights